 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6.7K | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$897 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $900 | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$489 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $292 | 73¢ | 84¢ | +$43 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $365 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$134 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $171 | 72¢ | 93¢ | +$50 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $84 | 34¢ | 75¢ | +$100 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?Weather | Yes | $285 | 20¢ | 9.5¢ | -$150 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $132 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $97 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Weather | No | $228 | 35¢ | 11¢ | -$156 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $73 | 52¢ | 44¢ | -$12 |
 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York MetsMLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | $59 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $38 | 41¢ | 55¢ | +$13 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $39 | 63¢ | 51¢ | -$8 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $41 | 46¢ | 17¢ | -$27 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $20 | 28¢ | 12¢ | -$11 |
 Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $29 | 21¢ | 1.1¢ | -$27 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AprilPolitics | SomethingResolved | $183 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
 Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Politics | YesResolved | $70 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $101 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $204 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by less than 10%?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $185 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$185 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $53 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $347 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$347 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 6?Weather | NoResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5World Cup | OverResolved | $216 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$216 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $353 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$353 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?Weather | YesResolved | $46 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?La Liga | YesResolved | $32 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $275 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$275 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Politics | YesResolved | $372 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$372 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $108 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $114 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 11?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $363 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$363 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $26 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 10?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $24 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao?World Cup | YesResolved | $35 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $40 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $67 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $370 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$370 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $96 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $36 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $49 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Mentions | YesResolved | $38 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesMLB | San Diego PadresResolved | $60 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions League | YesResolved | $4 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ColombiaResolved | $530 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$530 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $221 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$221 |
 Will Trump dance today?Politics | NoResolved | $47 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $252 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$252 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $230 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$230 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $265 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$265 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $105 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?Weather | NoResolved | $107 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $467 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$467 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 30?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red SoxMLB | New York YankeesResolved | $151 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1.5K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 10?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $423 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$423 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $850 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$850 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $47 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $54 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $152 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 10?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?World Cup | YesResolved | $72 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?World Cup | NoResolved | $16 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $42 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $15 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $223 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
