← Belugo Whale Watch

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
$432K volumeYes 14¢No 86¢
Sharp lean: 3% Yes97% No
Share of money held by tracked sharps (top 1,000 Polymarket accounts) among this market's top holders.
Top Yes holders
14¢- 10x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557$1.1K
- 2Doomsday77$995
- 3Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a6$968
- 40x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378$577
- 5
rolodexoperator$573 - 6JAMJAMJAM4$489
- 7WharfMan$423
- 8third-eye$367
- 9HerrieDavisSharp$352
- 10
GodRama$321 - 110xD324e20e3462d859a2913C5bfD162Ed7F9Aeb23c-1773152871743$261
- 12XgangX$255
- 13
lIllIIl$230 - 14machiavelia$180
- 15
DOG-UndressedVersion$137 - 16
etar$116 - 17
soqmfaks$110 - 18
Its-Bane$82 - 19
eightpenguinsSharp$68
- 20D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935$68
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Top No holders
86¢- 1
tetroseSharp$7.2K - 2881112Sharp$6.7K
- 3Dar1us$5.3K
- 4
RogerFed$5.1K - 5
Sylvester.the.Cat$4.3K - 6cookedquail$4.2K
- 70xdamocles$2.6K
- 8
ArmageddonRewardsBilly$2.5K - 9Matelleti$1.3K
- 10simpton$1.3K
- 11
zthunderfury$1.3K - 12nukecoin-$1.2K
- 13MoonLambo1205$1.1K
- 14mr.NobodyNowhere$1000
- 150xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Sharp$751
- 16fuzi-$475
- 17SatisfiedQuadrant$465
- 18Justin698$408
- 19Jumbajuz$391
- 200xALoremipsum$345
Top 20 per side (Polymarket API limit). Values at the current price.
Recent big trades here
- $1,177 out of No @ 82¢0xf663552D2AD4dCA80CD02b3a6E369A8916Bdde7d-173861985656221h ago
- $1,064 on No @ 91¢MoonLambo12052d ago
- $3,356 on No @ 86¢
Sylvester.the.Cat5d ago - $1,340 out of No @ 86¢
rolodexoperator7d ago - $3,098 on No @ 87¢Dar1us7d ago
- $1,549 on No @ 70¢cookedquail9d ago
- $3,918 out of No @ 65¢0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-176028091437811d ago
- $5,212 out of No @ 65¢88111211d ago
- $8,057 on No @ 70¢
tetrose11d ago - $1,047 on No @ 65¢cookedquail11d ago
- $1,598 on No @ 55¢PwnedUrChoice12d ago
- $3,051 out of No @ 65¢Linslav12d ago
- $1,062 out of Yes @ 24¢marchonnow12d ago
- $1,598 on No @ 80¢0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-176028091437812d ago
- $1,505 on No @ 75¢0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-176028091437812d ago
- $2,591 on No @ 52¢0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-176028091437812d ago
- $1,302 out of Yes @ 96¢LessIsMore668817d ago
- $1,279 on Yes @ 97¢Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a618d ago
- $1,940 out of Yes @ 93¢nukecoin-18d ago
- $2,000 on Yes @ 96¢nukecoin-18d ago