 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $19K | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$2.3K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6.1K | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$118 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $5.2K | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$962 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $3.4K | 62¢ | 79¢ | +$944 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5.7K | 50¢ | 33¢ | -$2.0K |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $3.5K | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$110 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 29¢ | 32¢ | +$217 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 20¢ | 42¢ | +$1.4K |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $2.4K | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$28 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $2.3K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$215 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1.8K | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$35 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $951 | 57¢ | 80¢ | +$372 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$106 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $651 | 24¢ | 23¢ | -$48 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $200 | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$396 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $503 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$48 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $1.1K | 40¢ | 19¢ | -$574 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $220 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $374 | 9.6¢ | 5.7¢ | -$152 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 11¢ | 0.3¢ | -$2.7K |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$18 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | Yes | $70 | 3.8¢ | 3.6¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $592 | 12¢ | 0.9¢ | -$545 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 28¢ | 2.5¢ | -$284 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 3.5¢ | 4.3¢ | +$5 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $945 | 12¢ | 0.1¢ | -$941 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $420 | 17¢ | 0.1¢ | -$419 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $115 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Mentions | NoResolved | $79 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $588 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$588 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Politics | YesResolved | $575 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$575 |
 Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $17 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump say "Hottest" during call with Service Members on November 27?Mentions | NoResolved | $303 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$303 |
 Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)Culture | YesResolved | $1.4K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.0K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during Miami address?Mentions | NoResolved | $382 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Culture | YesResolved | $649 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$649 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Politics | YesResolved | $4.1K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K |
 Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4.4K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.4K |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.2K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $118 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$118 |
 Will “Nobody Wants This: Season 2” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 11 2025)Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $6.6K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.6K |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2.7K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
 Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?Mentions | NoResolved | $76 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?Mentions | NoResolved | $40 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $2.6K | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
 Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $79 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
 Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Google say "Search Advertising" or "Search Ad" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $19 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Politics | YesResolved | $138 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
 Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Culture | NoResolved | $2.6K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?Tech | YesResolved | $642 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$642 |
 Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)Mentions | YesResolved | $854 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$854 |
 Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $180 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?Tech | NoResolved | $101 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
 Will Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $193 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$193 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2.1K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
| Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Mentions | NoResolved | $280 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$280 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $538 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$538 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump say "Affordability" in Corpus Christi on Friday?Mentions | NoResolved | $152 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$152 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $688 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$688 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?Politics | YesResolved | $1.4K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?Tech | NoResolved | $277 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$277 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $645 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$645 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1.9K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $800 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$800 |
 Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?Politics | YesResolved | $180 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $43 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will "I Will Find You" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $222 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$222 |
 Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $277 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$277 |
 Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $288 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$288 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?Mentions | YesResolved | $109 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$109 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $300 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
 Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)Culture | NoResolved | $354 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$354 |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)Culture | NoResolved | $129 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
| Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $3.7K | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.7K |
| Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Tech | NoResolved | $670 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$670 |
 Will "Mike Epps: Delusional" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)Culture | YesResolved | $348 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$348 |
 Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" during the medal presentation on December 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "A Cowboy Christmas Romance" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)Culture | NoResolved | $366 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$366 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | NoResolved | $648 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$648 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $140 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 Will Vance say "Ass" during his Rocky Mount visit?Mentions | YesResolved | $66 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?NFL | NoResolved | $9 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $625 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$625 |
