 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?Politics | No | $219 | 44¢ | 84¢ | +$199 |
 Will OpenAIâs Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $293 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$98 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $124 | 5.4¢ | 15¢ | +$225 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $241 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$6 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $201 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAIâs Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $143 | 48¢ | 62¢ | +$41 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanityâs Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | No | $142 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$31 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $150 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$15 |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $82 | 9.1¢ | 18¢ | +$76 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanityâs Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $132 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $286 | 18¢ | 5.0¢ | -$207 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $47 | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$27 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $94 | 12¢ | 8.9¢ | -$24 |
 Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $120 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$55 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Tech | Yes | $62 | 3.1¢ | 3.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $42 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$15 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $80 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$23 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $64 | 10¢ | 9.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?Tech | Yes | $35 | 5.9¢ | 8.9¢ | +$18 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Politics | Yes | $54 | 5.4¢ | 5.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Other sports | No | $27 | 2.8¢ | 4.1¢ | +$13 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | No | $70 | 13¢ | 7.5¢ | -$30 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $21 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$17 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $120 | 27¢ | 7.6¢ | -$86 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Politics | Yes | $19 | 19¢ | 32¢ | +$13 |
 Will FlĂĄvio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5â10%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.7¢ | 4.0¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 5.0¢ | 3.2¢ | -$9 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | +$0 |
| Will Flåvio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 6.3¢ | +$11 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 22¢ | 13¢ | -$9 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Tech | Yes | $71 | 19¢ | 3.3¢ | -$59 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $65 | 13¢ | 2.4¢ | -$53 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nicolås Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | No | $3 | 2.6¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $93 | 31¢ | 0.7¢ | -$91 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $138 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
 Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Crypto | NoResolved | $94 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $135 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will SpaceXâs opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnereSports | Team SpiritResolved | $38 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $42 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on August 29, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $92 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
| Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | NoResolved | $62 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $81 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnereSports | Team SpiritResolved | $46 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture | NoResolved | $111 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
 Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $138 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $137 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| No change in Bank of Japanâs interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnereSports | Team SpiritResolved | $60 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?eSports | NoResolved | $62 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $215 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$215 |
 Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $90 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $137 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
