 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $279 | 15¢ | 49¢ | +$627 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $354 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$164 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $271 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$63 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $145 | 5.4¢ | 10¢ | +$126 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $141 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $268 | 17¢ | 9.1¢ | -$123 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $130 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$9 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $179 | 7.1¢ | 4.3¢ | -$70 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $60 | 10¢ | 15¢ | +$30 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $72 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$12 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Tech | No | $58 | 33¢ | 47¢ | +$25 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 62¢ | 83¢ | +$21 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 7.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | Yes | $90 | 4.3¢ | 3.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 4.2¢ | 7.8¢ | +$21 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $16 | 16¢ | 35¢ | +$19 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | No | $70 | 13¢ | 6.2¢ | -$37 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | No | $19 | 4.5¢ | 7.0¢ | +$11 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 47¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$17 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31?Tech | No | $49 | 9.9¢ | 4.3¢ | -$28 |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | +$3 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 1.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$21 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Politics | Yes | $10 | 5.0¢ | 7.1¢ | +$4 |
| Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 1.2¢ | 1.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | -$9 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$3 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$6 |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 1.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.6¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 16¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $127 | 24¢ | 0.4¢ | -$125 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $138 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Crypto | NoResolved | $94 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $135 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $64 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Politics | NoResolved | $62 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $57 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $81 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 26?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $137 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII?eSports | NoResolved | $62 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $215 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$215 |
 Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $90 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation last 30 minutes or longer?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 9?Finance | YesResolved | $61 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Culture | NoResolved | $375 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$375 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $178 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$178 |
 Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $93 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $41 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 24?Tech | NoResolved | $62 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnereSports | PARIVISIONResolved | $99 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $292 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$292 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Grok 4.4 released by July 17?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $255 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $173 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$173 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?Culture | NoResolved | $24 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?World Cup | YesResolved | $88 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?NBA | NoResolved | $56 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $24 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $42 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $223 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$223 |
Bought Yes · Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?$04h ago