← Whale Watch

lighter300

Predicting since Oct 2025351 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$2767¢71¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$2075¢100¢+$7
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$2161¢67¢+$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2044¢46¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1344¢51¢+$2
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$1331¢30¢-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1073¢80¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1048¢51¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$1043¢44¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1073¢75¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$1069¢69¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$1075¢75¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$1064¢64¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1059¢59¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$1029¢28¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$109.0¢8.5¢-$1
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1015¢14¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$64.8¢4.9¢+$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$49.0¢8.5¢-$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$48.0¢7.5¢-$0
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$250¢93¢+$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$426¢21¢-$1
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$54.2¢2.1¢-$3
Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1614¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2015¢0.0¢-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1005.5¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ETCryptoUpResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2532¢0.0¢-$25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$235.8¢0.0¢-$23
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Other sportsNoResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?PoliticsNoResolved$32.5¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?PoliticsNoResolved$4955¢0.0¢-$49
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?EconomyYesResolved$5226¢0.0¢-$52
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1116¢0.0¢-$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 22?CryptoNoResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?eSportsUnderResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1964¢0.0¢-$19
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?FinanceYesResolved$2037¢0.0¢-$20
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2923¢0.0¢-$29
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?EconomyYesResolved$6231¢0.0¢-$62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffseSportsBilibili GamingResolved$880¢0.0¢-$8
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?eSportsUnderResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?CryptoNoResolved$7638¢0.0¢-$76
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$19866¢0.0¢-$198
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?EconomyYesResolved$03.3¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$1008.3¢0.0¢-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1320¢0.0¢-$13
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?eSportsUnderResolved$623¢0.0¢-$6
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$4242¢0.0¢-$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$249¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$8743¢0.0¢-$87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?CryptoNoResolved$402.9¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 25?CryptoYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?CryptoYesResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 27?CryptoNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?EconomyNoResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$21070¢0.0¢-$210
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?CultureYesResolved$35.1¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$834¢0.0¢-$8
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$414¢0.0¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?FinanceNoResolved$2937¢0.0¢-$29
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1322¢0.0¢-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?FinanceNoResolved$5326¢0.0¢-$53
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$16076¢0.0¢-$160
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?EconomyNoResolved$174¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ETCryptoUpResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffseSportsAnyones LegendResolved$881¢0.0¢-$8
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?EconomyYesResolved$08.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5037¢0.0¢-$50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?CultureYesResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?EconomyYesResolved$3819¢0.0¢-$38
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5228¢0.0¢-$52
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5272¢0.0¢-$52
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5738¢0.0¢-$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1938¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$245¢0.0¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?FinanceNoResolved$6730¢0.0¢-$67
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 10?CryptoNoResolved$2228¢0.0¢-$22
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10836¢0.0¢-$108
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?eSportsUnderResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?eSportsUnderResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$489
Crypto-$429
Finance+$368
Economy-$144
eSports+$48
Other-$39
Tech-$27
World Cup-$23
NBA+$15
La Liga+$14
Culture+$10
NFL-$2
Biggest hit
+$358
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$437
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$357m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$157m ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$958m ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$101h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$101h ago