← Whale Watch

Adarok17

Predicting since Aug 202585 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2028¢16¢-$9
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1521¢5.5¢-$11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1518¢3.6¢-$12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$514¢5.5¢-$3
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsNo$320¢9.5¢-$2
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$65.4¢0.0¢-$6
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 11?PoliticsYesResolved$229¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?BoxingNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
TikTok sale announced by March 31?TechNoResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?PoliticsNoResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?PoliticsNoResolved$466¢0.0¢-$4
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$24.4¢0.0¢-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2019¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2342¢0.0¢-$23
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$14.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$640¢0.0¢-$6
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$1739¢0.0¢-$17
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYesResolved$3927¢0.0¢-$39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1537¢0.0¢-$15
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?EconomyYesResolved$19.8¢0.0¢-$1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?PoliticsNoResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the US strike Somalia next?PoliticsNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?PoliticsNoResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? TechYesResolved$1326¢0.0¢-$13
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?Soccer (other)YesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$97
Economy-$77
Tech-$32
Crypto-$22
Boxing+$13
Mentions-$1
Soccer (other)-$1
Biggest hit
+$15
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Toughest beat
-$33
OpenAI browser by October 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?$127d ago
  • Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$2027d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2427d ago