← Whale Watch

lonsy

Predicting since Mar 20263,182 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$1656¢72¢+$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$1236¢61¢+$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$926¢54¢+$10
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$1849¢49¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1365¢87¢+$4
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1561¢63¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1063¢95¢+$5
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1268¢87¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$1176¢98¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$1153¢69¢+$3
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1677¢66¢-$2
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia TigersBaseball (other)Kia Tigers$1059¢79¢+$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1355¢56¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1155¢67¢+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsYes$1138¢45¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1357¢56¢-$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$1274¢81¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$945¢59¢+$3
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifiereSportspaiN$740¢71¢+$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1188¢93¢+$1
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$979¢99¢+$2
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$1339¢34¢-$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$1084¢93¢+$1
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$1161¢61¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$1083¢95¢+$1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsAnyones Legend$941¢50¢+$2
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLBAtlanta Braves$1047¢53¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoNo$1067¢69¢+$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$1231¢27¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?CryptoNo$1068¢74¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoYes$1031¢31¢-$0
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersSoccer (other)Over$1053¢51¢-$0
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Soccer (other)Sandefjord Fotball$1053¢50¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$658¢87¢+$3
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$862¢75¢+$2
Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 9.5 Total CornersSoccer (other)Over$1056¢49¢-$1
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG TwinsBaseball (other)LG Twins$870¢75¢+$1
Rakuten Monkeys vs. TSG HawksBaseball (other)TSG Hawks$654¢74¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoNo$774¢97¢+$2
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$970¢69¢-$0
FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersSoccer (other)Under$954¢50¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$770¢80¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$766¢77¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$842¢44¢+$0
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?GolfYes$856¢56¢+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$547¢79¢+$3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$858¢59¢+$0
Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?CryptoUp$781¢94¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$731¢33¢+$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$863¢64¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$626¢28¢+$1
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York Yankees$854¢48¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$787¢84¢-$0
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$776¢73¢-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$544¢61¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceYes$539¢46¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1172¢41¢-$5
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5MLBUnder$651¢51¢-$0
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsKT Rolster$768¢59¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$662¢61¢-$0
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$655¢54¢-$0
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)eSportsFluxo$552¢55¢+$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$572¢77¢+$0
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT WizBaseball (other)Kiwoom Heroes$950¢31¢-$3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsBNK FEARX$657¢54¢-$0
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)eSportsFUT Esports$546¢46¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$485¢99¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$596¢98¢+$0
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$580¢81¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$488¢99¢+$1
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$592¢98¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$594¢97¢+$0
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasoneSportsTeam Liquid$557¢60¢+$0
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)eSportsQUAZAR$550¢48¢-$0
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$487¢94¢+$0
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)eSportsTheMongolz$641¢34¢-$1
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$363¢93¢+$2
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢93¢+$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$480¢86¢+$0
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesMLBTampa Bay Rays$549¢41¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$474¢80¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1662¢14¢-$13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$423¢19¢-$1
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$366¢66¢-$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$356¢63¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$337¢41¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$818¢6.5¢-$5
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$350¢50¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$1222¢4.8¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$1162¢15¢-$8
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$350¢50¢-$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$1534¢5.5¢-$13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$118¢38¢+$1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$243¢37¢-$0
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$324¢12¢-$2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$739¢7.0¢-$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1076¢7.5¢-$9
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)NBAThunderResolved$233¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)NBA76ersResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnereSportsHanwha Life EsportsResolved$876¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$656
eSports-$424
Politics-$350
Crypto-$306
MLB-$282
Tennis-$176
Soccer (other)-$71
Tech-$55
Mentions+$54
NBA-$53
Culture-$52
College Hoops+$37
Biggest hit
+$47
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Toughest beat
-$5
Celtics vs. Hornets

Recent moves

  • Bought QUAZAR · Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)$51h ago
  • Bought paiN · Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$71h ago
  • Bought Fluxo · Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)$53h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-24?$84h ago
  • Bought Under · Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5$64h ago
  • Bought Branko Djuric · ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Pedro Vives Marcos$64h ago
  • Bought Up · Ethereum Up or Down on July 26?$75h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?$85h ago
  • Cashed out Under · CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5$197h ago
  • Cashed out Under · CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5$07h ago
  • Bought BNK FEARX · LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$67h ago
  • Cashed out Ankita Raina · The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Ankita Raina vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko$88h ago