butterbrot

Predicting since Nov 2023463 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.5K on Politics markets since Nov 2023.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$203	40¢	43¢	+$16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics	No	$194	88¢	88¢	-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$154	76¢	94¢	+$35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$126	25¢	27¢	+$12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$107	53¢	68¢	+$29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics	No	$108	98¢	100¢	+$2
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$93	93¢	96¢	+$2
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$100	10¢	9.5¢	-$5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Politics	No	$89	89¢	90¢	+$1
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$80	40¢	41¢	+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$77	87¢	87¢	+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics	Yes	$59	63¢	63¢	-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics	No	$51	85¢	96¢	+$6
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	Yes	$57	26¢	26¢	-$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$42	20¢	20¢	+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics	No	$45	45¢	43¢	-$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$50	55¢	47¢	-$8
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	No	$43	81¢	78¢	-$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	No	$50	77¢	64¢	-$9
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics	No	$36	65¢	75¢	+$5
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics	No	$39	85¢	88¢	+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$50	63¢	45¢	-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	No	$25	82¢	88¢	+$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$29	14¢	12¢	-$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$25	12¢	12¢	+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics	No	$23	90¢	99¢	+$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics	No	$21	83¢	94¢	+$3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	No	$19	93¢	91¢	-$0
Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?Politics	No	$16	88¢	89¢	+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics	No	$10	91¢	98¢	+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics	No	$10	96¢	100¢	+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$10	69¢	68¢	-$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$7	94¢	99¢	+$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	Yes	$2	29¢	25¢	-$0
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	92¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.5K

Culture-$492

World Cup+$375

Crypto+$295

Mentions-$13

Champions League-$4

Tech+$4

Soccer (other)-$2

Biggest hit

+$500

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Toughest beat

-$426

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Recent moves

Bought No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$231h ago
Sold No · US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$648h ago
Bought No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$2610h ago
Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2212h ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$512h ago
Bought No · US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?$211d ago
Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$302d ago
Sold Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$344d ago
Bought No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$454d ago
Sold Yes · Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$106d ago
Sold Yes · Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$96d ago
Sold Yes · Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$46d ago