 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1.7K | 56¢ | 35¢ | -$645 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | No | $314 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$249 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $240 | 8.0¢ | 13¢ | +$135 |
 National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Politics | Yes | $287 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$71 |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 24¢ | 38¢ | +$114 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $268 | 6.7¢ | 7.4¢ | +$28 |
 FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?Tech | No | $119 | 25¢ | 61¢ | +$172 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $108 | 27¢ | 69¢ | +$166 |
 Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $78 | 26¢ | 91¢ | +$194 |
 Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $80 | 11¢ | 38¢ | +$187 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $231 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $423 | 42¢ | 26¢ | -$168 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $86 | 19¢ | 55¢ | +$164 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $121 | 14¢ | 27¢ | +$109 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 47¢ | 56¢ | +$39 |
 Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $33 | 13¢ | 86¢ | +$181 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $129 | 43¢ | 69¢ | +$78 |
 Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 22¢ | 41¢ | +$93 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $70 | 26¢ | 75¢ | +$128 |
 Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $60 | 30¢ | 96¢ | +$129 |
 Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $152 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$29 |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $80 | 20¢ | 46¢ | +$100 |
 Blue wave in 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 13¢ | 25¢ | +$85 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $107 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$68 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $222 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$49 |
 Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $103 | 14¢ | 24¢ | +$71 |
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $84 | 26¢ | 54¢ | +$86 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $130 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$39 |
 Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $141 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$22 |
 Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $105 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$49 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $106 | 26¢ | 39¢ | +$48 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $121 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$32 |
 Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | No | $120 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$29 |
 Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $72 | 22¢ | 45¢ | +$77 |
 Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?Politics | Yes | $139 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Politics | No | $93 | 31¢ | 49¢ | +$53 |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $154 | 31¢ | 29¢ | -$9 |
 Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $107 | 34¢ | 46¢ | +$38 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $132 | 53¢ | 57¢ | +$10 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $110 | 37¢ | 45¢ | +$25 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $142 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$9 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | No | $147 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$20 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $125 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $257 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$132 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 21¢ | 48¢ | +$69 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $171 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$48 |
 Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 27¢ | 55¢ | +$60 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $70 | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$47 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $196 | 14¢ | 7.9¢ | -$83 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $38 | 19¢ | 54¢ | +$69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 16¢ | 31¢ | +$51 |
 Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $70 | 22¢ | 33¢ | +$34 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 24¢ | 33¢ | +$27 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $56 | 20¢ | 35¢ | +$41 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Politics | No | $99 | 25¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $61 | 22¢ | 31¢ | +$25 |
 Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $82 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $30 | 11¢ | 28¢ | +$50 |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?Tech | Yes | $40 | 13¢ | 27¢ | +$40 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$41 |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | Yes | $85 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$14 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $61 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$9 |
 Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $86 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$23 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $93 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$31 |
 Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $77 | 29¢ | 22¢ | -$21 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?Politics | No | $33 | 19¢ | 33¢ | +$24 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$11 |
| Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 14¢ | 31¢ | +$30 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$7 |
 Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $50 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $41 | 16¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
| Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $37 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$12 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $35 | 35¢ | 49¢ | +$14 |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $55 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?Tech | No | $79 | 13¢ | 7.2¢ | -$35 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $38 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 33¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
| Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $23 | 25¢ | 38¢ | +$12 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $21 | 8.6¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $68 | 26¢ | 12¢ | -$38 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$14 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | No | $38 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?Politics | Yes | $47 | 15¢ | 7.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?Politics | No | $21 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $32 | 18¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
| Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $45 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$27 |
 Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $10 | 23¢ | 39¢ | +$7 |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" in July?Mentions | No | $6 | 31¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Politics | No | $21 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $46 | 31¢ | 10¢ | -$31 |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 35¢ | 73¢ | +$8 |
| Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 34¢ | 55¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$019h ago
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