Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $121 | 14¢ | 92¢ | +$663 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2.0K | 43¢ | 13¢ | -$1.4K |
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $141 | 23¢ | 66¢ | +$262 |
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 15¢ | 76¢ | +$322 |
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?Politics | Yes | $287 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$32 |
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $84 | 26¢ | 99¢ | +$230 |
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $80 | 20¢ | 75¢ | +$215 |
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $108 | 27¢ | 69¢ | +$166 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 16¢ | 86¢ | +$212 |
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $105 | 23¢ | 58¢ | +$155 |
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $70 | 26¢ | 97¢ | +$187 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $129 | 43¢ | 86¢ | +$128 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $231 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$23 |
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$58 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $121 | 27¢ | 55¢ | +$124 |
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $33 | 13¢ | 95¢ | +$206 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Tech | No | $129 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$100 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $130 | 52¢ | 87¢ | +$86 |
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $138 | 19¢ | 27¢ | +$63 |
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Politics | Yes | $158 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $60 | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$137 |
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $70 | 22¢ | 62¢ | +$123 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$4 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $196 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$10 |
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $96 | 12¢ | 23¢ | +$84 |
Spain snap election called in 2026?Politics | No | $152 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$28 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $138 | 46¢ | 57¢ | +$35 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 22¢ | 34¢ | +$58 |
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?Politics | Yes | $139 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$22 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $72 | 24¢ | 54¢ | +$89 |
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $38 | 19¢ | 80¢ | +$122 |
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $50 | 14¢ | 44¢ | +$108 |
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $72 | 22¢ | 47¢ | +$83 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $100 | 23¢ | 36¢ | +$54 |
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in September?Politics | No | $82 | 32¢ | 60¢ | +$72 |
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?Politics | No | $92 | 31¢ | 51¢ | +$58 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $100 | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$38 |
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $103 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$33 |
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $103 | 20¢ | 26¢ | +$26 |
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 27¢ | 59¢ | +$69 |
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $88 | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$35 |
Blue wave in 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 13¢ | 18¢ | +$33 |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 16¢ | 35¢ | +$65 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $118 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $120 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$8 |
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | No | $110 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics | No | $31 | 5.7¢ | 17¢ | +$64 |
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $104 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$12 |
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 18¢ | 52¢ | +$57 |
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $89 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $86 | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Politics | No | $110 | 37¢ | 28¢ | -$24 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $106 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | No | $83 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Politics | No | $84 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $423 | 42¢ | 7.5¢ | -$348 |
Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Politics | No | $29 | 21¢ | 55¢ | +$46 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $35 | 35¢ | 71¢ | +$36 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $65 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$4 |
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $61 | 24¢ | 27¢ | +$8 |
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $70 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 18¢ | 36¢ | +$33 |
Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $41 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$25 |
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $77 | 29¢ | 24¢ | -$15 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $125 | 30¢ | 15¢ | -$64 |
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $30 | 11¢ | 22¢ | +$31 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $45 | 8.7¢ | 12¢ | +$15 |
Will Lars Holmin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Politics | Yes | $65 | 18¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | No | $62 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$7 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $90 | 9.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$35 |
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $55 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics | No | $25 | 10¢ | 21¢ | +$27 |
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Politics | Yes | $49 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala?Politics | No | $30 | 5.8¢ | 9.2¢ | +$17 |
Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August?Politics | Yes | $36 | 32¢ | 41¢ | +$10 |
Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 9.9¢ | 12¢ | +$9 |
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $38 | 26¢ | 31¢ | +$6 |
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $56 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$17 |
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?Politics | No | $37 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $56 | 20¢ | 13¢ | -$20 |
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$14 |
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | Yes | $38 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $269 | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | -$235 |
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $16 | 40¢ | 80¢ | +$16 |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$27 |
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will Malin Sjölander be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics | Yes | $15 | 6.1¢ | 13¢ | +$16 |
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Politics | No | $32 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $80 | 11¢ | 4.2¢ | -$50 |
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $68 | 26¢ | 10¢ | -$41 |
Will the National Rally group hold 12 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 9.6¢ | 21¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $73 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$48 |
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Politics | No | $26 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $157 | 13¢ | 2.1¢ | -$132 |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $36 | 7.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$13 |
Will the National Rally group hold 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$9 |