Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $11K | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$2.0K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $12K | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$989 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $6.6K | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$2.7K |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5.8K | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$2.1K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $5.9K | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$1.4K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $5.5K | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$1.2K |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $4.9K | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$514 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 34¢ | 54¢ | +$1.7K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.1K | 41¢ | 86¢ | +$2.2K |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3.9K | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$308 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.6K | 60¢ | 74¢ | +$362 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 55¢ | 34¢ | -$1.2K |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $489 | 16¢ | 55¢ | +$1.2K |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $660 | 36¢ | 89¢ | +$943 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$72 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.0K | 53¢ | 66¢ | +$232 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $733 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$286 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $960 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$40 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $770 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$223 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $797 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$178 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $310 | 31¢ | 73¢ | +$420 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $955 | 81¢ | 59¢ | -$265 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $580 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$79 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $600 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$30 |
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $295 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$266 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $567 | 51¢ | 48¢ | -$34 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 48¢ | 14¢ | -$1.2K |
Will Tanveer Shahnawaz win the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $470 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $497 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $481 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $450 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $269 | 54¢ | 96¢ | +$212 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $390 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$73 |
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $411 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$35 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Politics | YesResolved | $372 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $306 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$61 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $627 | 19¢ | 9.5¢ | -$310 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $728 | 33¢ | 14¢ | -$420 |
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $162 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$144 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $285 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $506 | 9.9¢ | 4.5¢ | -$276 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $499 | 4.1¢ | 1.9¢ | -$269 |
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $188 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | Yes | $281 | 10¢ | 7.0¢ | -$90 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $194 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$36 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $237 | 8.7¢ | 4.5¢ | -$114 |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $112 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$41 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $247 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$139 |
Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $85 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $85 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $298 | 39¢ | 12¢ | -$206 |
Will Mark Bekkering win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $75 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $214 | 9.5¢ | 3.3¢ | -$140 |
USMCA extended in 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$9 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $67 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$12 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $9 | 3.3¢ | 16¢ | +$34 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | Yes | $189 | 1.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$147 |
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $19 | 26¢ | 35¢ | +$6 |
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Crypto | NoResolved | $21 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $34 | 3.4¢ | 2.1¢ | -$13 |
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$4 |
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 1.8¢ | +$8 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 5.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$65 |
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $27 | 3.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$20 |
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 1.7¢ | 1.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $452 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$452 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $114 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?Finance | YesResolved | $27 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $407 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$407 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $168 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $28 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $84 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $110 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.9K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $196 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$196 |
Will STRC market cap hit $10B by July 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $25 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $236 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$236 |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |