Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $13K | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$1.3K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | No | $12K | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$425 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $8.7K | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$1.2K |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $9.2K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$371 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $5.9K | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$1.0K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $5.5K | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$1.0K |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4.3K | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$1.0K |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $4.9K | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$254 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $2.9K | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$1.2K |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 42¢ | 57¢ | +$934 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $2.0K | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$613 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $489 | 16¢ | 64¢ | +$1.5K |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 33¢ | 43¢ | +$440 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$176 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $1.3K | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$190 |
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $1.4K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$84 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$143 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.0K | 53¢ | 67¢ | +$251 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $800 | 53¢ | 68¢ | +$220 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $969 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$25 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $803 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$150 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $450 | 22¢ | 47¢ | +$480 |
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?Politics | No | $699 | 76¢ | 90¢ | +$119 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $591 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$95 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $519 | 77¢ | 97¢ | +$138 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $310 | 31¢ | 58¢ | +$270 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $565 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$9 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $317 | 25¢ | 45¢ | +$249 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $580 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$19 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Politics | YesResolved | $450 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$50 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $470 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $237 | 8.7¢ | 18¢ | +$254 |
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $298 | 39¢ | 63¢ | +$183 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $452 | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$29 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $475 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$6 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $390 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$48 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $420 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $257 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$150 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?Finance | No | $355 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $293 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $261 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $237 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?Politics | No | $220 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?Politics | No | $215 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $194 | 8.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$12 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $219 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$30 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $330 | 33¢ | 18¢ | -$149 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $76 | 20¢ | 48¢ | +$104 |
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $158 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$30 |
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | No | $69 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$37 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $101 | 5.5¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?Finance | No | $97 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $110 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$24 |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 3.0¢ | 13¢ | +$64 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | No | $59 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $177 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | -$123 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $286 | 6.0¢ | 0.9¢ | -$246 |
| Will 260 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $12 | 4.2¢ | 12¢ | +$22 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 4.5¢ | 5.1¢ | +$3 |
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $19 | 26¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 7.0¢ | 4.1¢ | -$14 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 11¢ | 2.6¢ | -$63 |
| Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $2 | 10¢ | 64¢ | +$11 |
| Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 69¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?Finance | No | $1 | 10¢ | 87¢ | +$8 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?Finance | No | $6 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $3 | 34¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $1 | 46¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $51 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $407 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$407 |
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2.4K | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $41 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $98 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |