MarlonK

Predicting since Nov 202428 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $617 riding on Presidential Election Winner 2024.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$4	53¢	43¢	-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$3	19¢	13¢	-$1
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$41	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$41
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Politics	YesResolved	$5	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$5
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? Politics	YesResolved	$6	30¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Politics	NoResolved	$31	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$31
Trump out as President by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
DFB-Pokal Final: Arminia vs. VfB StuttgartSoccer (other)	ArminiaResolved	$19	19¢	0.0¢	-$19
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	24¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Politics	YesResolved	$5	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Politics	NoResolved	$7	38¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$617	41¢	0.0¢	-$617
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?Politics	YesResolved	$60	11¢	0.0¢	-$60
Trump out as President in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$7	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$7
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	40¢	0.0¢	-$1
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?Politics	YesResolved	$5	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Politics	YesResolved	$17	50¢	0.0¢	-$17

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$794

Soccer (other)-$19

Tech+$12

Weather+$2

Biggest hit

+$19

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Toughest beat

-$14

Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?$18mo ago
Bought No · Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?$78mo ago
Bought Yes · Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?$18mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump out as President by March 31?$28mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$38mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$268mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$59mo ago
Sold Yes · US government shutdown in 2025?$3210mo ago
Bought No · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$1510mo ago
Sold No · Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$310mo ago
Sold No · OpenAI browser by September 30?$510mo ago