← Whale Watch

RiskyyLemon

Predicting since Oct 2024182 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.5K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.0K riding on GTA 6 launch postponed again?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$1.0K22¢10¢-$565
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$41216¢13¢-$99
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2174.0¢5.1¢+$62
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$28711¢9.6¢-$43
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$11245¢61¢+$39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$918.5¢14¢+$55
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4525¢80¢+$99
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?MLBYes$7515¢14¢-$5
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?CultureYes$8228¢24¢-$12
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$812.7¢2.1¢-$17
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$6065¢67¢+$1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$11924¢12¢-$59
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?PoliticsYes$2931¢63¢+$31
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyYes$9519¢10¢-$44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11011¢3.6¢-$73
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?CultureYes$5719¢10¢-$27
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsYes$5010.0¢5.1¢-$25
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$2828¢21¢-$8
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechYes$6722¢6.5¢-$47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$5418¢5.5¢-$38
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsYes$753.7¢0.7¢-$62
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?NFLYes$10725¢1.4¢-$101
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$230¢73¢+$3
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$22.8¢3.8¢+$1
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 12.5NBAYesResolved$8753¢0.0¢-$87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$45013¢0.0¢-$450
Clavicular arrested again by April 30?CultureYesResolved$15030¢0.0¢-$150
Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?CultureYesResolved$208.5¢0.0¢-$20
Will Arizona Cardinals draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$20055¢0.0¢-$200
Will Sonny Styles be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$2305.5¢0.0¢-$230
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?NFLYesResolved$3410¢0.0¢-$34
Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft? NFLNoResolved$7811¢0.0¢-$78
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$5637¢0.0¢-$56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$285.5¢0.0¢-$28
Will David Bailey be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?NFLYesResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$336.7¢0.0¢-$33
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$6128¢0.0¢-$61
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?CultureYesResolved$181.8¢0.0¢-$18
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1238.2¢0.0¢-$123
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?TechYesResolved$292.9¢0.0¢-$29
Will Joey Chestnut Eat 60 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Other sportsNoResolved$5511¢0.0¢-$55
Anthropic CEO arrested?PoliticsYesResolved$255.0¢0.0¢-$25
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$9718¢0.0¢-$97
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5NBANoResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?NFLYesResolved$5344¢0.0¢-$53
Will Francis Mauigoa be drafted 9th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$3015¢0.0¢-$30
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$765.0¢0.0¢-$76
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)NBAPistonsResolved$25551¢0.0¢-$255
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$214.2¢0.0¢-$21
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1693.4¢0.0¢-$169
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$5511¢0.0¢-$55
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1425.7¢0.0¢-$142
Will Carnell Tate be drafted 6th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$15535¢0.0¢-$155
Will Jeremiyah Love be drafted 4th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$1525¢0.0¢-$15
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$301.5¢0.0¢-$30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$38926¢0.0¢-$389
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)NBATimberwolvesResolved$64052¢0.0¢-$640
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?CultureYesResolved$294.8¢0.0¢-$29
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$261.2¢0.0¢-$26
Will Joey Chestnut Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)?Other sportsNoResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Will 1 quarterback be drafted in the first round of the 2026 pro football draft?NFLYesResolved$2510.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$33138¢0.0¢-$331
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?TechYesResolved$9625¢0.0¢-$96
Will Arvell Reese be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?NFLYesResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)NBALakersResolved$16555¢0.0¢-$165
Lakers vs. ThunderNBALakersResolved$2513¢0.0¢-$25
Will Joey Chestnut Eat 78 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Other sportsYesResolved$474.7¢0.0¢-$47
Lakers vs. RocketsNBALakersResolved$27013¢0.0¢-$270
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$353.5¢0.0¢-$35
Will Joey Chestnut Eat 76 or More Hot Dogs at Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest 2026(men's)Other sportsYesResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$336.5¢0.0¢-$33

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.5K
Finance-$839
NBA-$778
Tech-$765
Golf-$287
NFL-$278
Other sports-$270
Premier League+$247
World Cup-$160
Economy-$141
Mentions-$101
Culture-$78
Biggest hit
+$660
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$292
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$3796d ago
  • Cashed out Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$5426d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?$27d ago
  • Bought Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$2007d ago
  • Bought Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$257d ago
  • Bought Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$257d ago
  • Bought Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5$257d ago
  • Bought Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$257d ago
  • Bought Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$257d ago
  • Bought Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$257d ago
  • Sold Yes · Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?$477d ago