 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 90¢ | 71¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $44 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
 Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLB | No | $29 | 53¢ | 61¢ | +$4 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 32¢ | 59¢ | +$15 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
 Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $10 | 36¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
 Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $20 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $17 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 74¢ | 42¢ | -$13 |
 Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $15 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $12 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $24 | 71¢ | 38¢ | -$11 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 59¢ | +$9 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.7¢ | 56¢ | +$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 74¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $9 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 62¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $3 | 14¢ | 47¢ | +$7 |
 Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $9 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 38¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $8 | 38¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.1¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
 Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $16 | 77¢ | 26¢ | -$11 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Politics | No | $3 | 21¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | No | $12 | 94¢ | 37¢ | -$7 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $5 | 85¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | No | $28 | 76¢ | 12¢ | -$24 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 32¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 2.8¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
 Will Feyenoord be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $0 | 2.2¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
| Will PSV Eindhoven be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.8¢ | 12¢ | +$2 |
| Will Ajax be runner-up in the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 63¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Politics | No | $5 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $4 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 5.8¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 2.9¢ | -$5 |
 Will Yeh Yao-hui win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 5.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or higher on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Oleksandr Bortnyk Win EWC 2026 Chess?eSports | YesResolved | $4 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Bradley Barcola join Newcastle United?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Amazon be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.8%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Tencent be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 18?Weather | NoResolved | $9 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?Culture | NoResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 17?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Marshall Davis Sr. be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Atletico Madrid?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 17?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on August 13?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 18?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Thinky be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 14?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Cashed out Yes · Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$205d ago
Cashed out No · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$8011d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$2512d ago
Cashed out No · Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?$2512d ago
Cashed out No · Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$2012d ago
Cashed out No · Will Emiliano Martinez join Juventus?$3513d ago
Cashed out No · Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$1816d ago
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$2016d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$518d ago
Cashed out No · Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$12018d ago