 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $33K | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$1.2K |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$473 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$11 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$212 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $600 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$80 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | No | $582 | 82¢ | 91¢ | +$63 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $630 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $386 | 50¢ | 63¢ | +$100 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $422 | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | Yes | $400 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $297 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$58 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $300 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $225 | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$71 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $279 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $210 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$30 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $200 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$18 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $210 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $137 | 60¢ | 81¢ | +$49 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $132 | 66¢ | 81¢ | +$31 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 66¢ | 88¢ | +$34 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | No | $100 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$12 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | No | $100 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$10 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 66¢ | 57¢ | -$10 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $288 | 73¢ | 15¢ | -$229 |
| Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics | No | $40 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $44 | 34¢ | 20¢ | -$19 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $15 | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 33¢ | 53¢ | +$6 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $400 | 88¢ | 3.4¢ | -$385 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by August 15, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $10 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $10 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 92¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 93¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 35¢ | -$4 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $19 | 24¢ | 8.3¢ | -$12 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $479 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$479 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | GermanyResolved | $50 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $183 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $10 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $110 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $522 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$522 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $301 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $1000 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $77 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $96 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Take First CornerWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$506d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?$107d ago