 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $33K | 79¢ | 48¢ | -$13K |
 Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics | No | $2.2K | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$428 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $1.6K | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$47 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$261 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$85 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $630 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$25 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | No | $582 | 82¢ | 68¢ | -$101 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $379 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$14 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $398 | 50¢ | 47¢ | -$27 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $297 | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$62 |
 Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $225 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$72 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $210 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$21 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $210 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $137 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$74 |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $200 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $132 | 66¢ | 92¢ | +$51 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 66¢ | 91¢ | +$37 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Politics | No | $100 | 75¢ | 98¢ | +$31 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $110 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
 Will Marcelo Aro win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $100 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Tech | No | $100 | 92¢ | 85¢ | -$7 |
 Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$12 |
 Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?Politics | No | $40 | 80¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $30 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 33¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $20 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $15 | 49¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $20 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $20 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 66¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $44 | 34¢ | 14¢ | -$26 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics | No | $288 | 73¢ | 3.3¢ | -$275 |
 Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 79¢ | 57¢ | -$3 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $19 | 24¢ | 7.4¢ | -$13 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 16¢ | -$8 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $479 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$479 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | GermanyResolved | $50 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $183 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$183 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $10 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $110 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $15 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $522 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$522 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $301 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $1000 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1000 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $77 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $400 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$400 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Tech | YesResolved | $96 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Take First CornerWorld Cup | BrazilResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Cashed out Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?$1106d ago