 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 74¢ | +$58 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 3.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 22-28?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPolitics | NoResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 27?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$281mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$638mo ago