← Whale Watch

dfupagain

Predicting since Oct 2025971 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.0K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$50050¢56¢+$65
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$50050¢44¢-$65
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$17535¢62¢+$133
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$28394¢99¢+$13
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Other sportsNo$20669¢94¢+$75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$21672¢81¢+$26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$18693¢100¢+$14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$18191¢97¢+$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15075¢92¢+$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$19364¢59¢-$17
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$16683¢86¢+$5
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$12681¢96¢+$22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$9472¢79¢+$9
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$8585¢100¢+$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$7979¢99¢+$20
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$5050¢97¢+$47
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$8888¢96¢+$8
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$8989¢96¢+$7
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$8181¢95¢+$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$9090¢95¢+$5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$6464¢95¢+$30
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$15176¢47¢-$57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$8989¢92¢+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$7272¢87¢+$15
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$8181¢76¢-$5
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$6060¢75¢+$15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$5358¢63¢+$4
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsNo$3660¢86¢+$16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$3484¢95¢+$4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2626¢27¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$2727¢27¢-$1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$2274¢82¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$1356¢83¢+$7
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1680¢98¢+$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$1892¢97¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$1784¢94¢+$2
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1468¢81¢+$3
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$246.0¢4.0¢-$8
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?Other sportsNo$8223¢2.6¢-$72
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherNo$554¢78¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$548¢68¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$10.9¢8.3¢+$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$505.0¢0.5¢-$45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$586¢88¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢96¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$215¢16¢+$0
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$660¢11¢-$5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?World CupNoResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?CryptoNoResolved$1017¢0.0¢-$10
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$1888¢0.0¢-$18
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$24582¢0.0¢-$245
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$4916¢0.0¢-$49
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$1678¢0.0¢-$16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$11658¢0.0¢-$116
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?CultureYesResolved$2346¢0.0¢-$23
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$737.3¢0.0¢-$73
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1618¢0.0¢-$16
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?TechNoResolved$415.7¢0.0¢-$41
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Crypto$60kResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$33.4¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?CryptoNoResolved$10025¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?CultureNoResolved$163.8¢0.0¢-$16
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$9331¢0.0¢-$93
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$15779¢0.0¢-$157
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?FinanceNoResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?CultureYesResolved$178.5¢0.0¢-$17
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?La LigaNoResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$861¢0.0¢-$8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$24229¢0.0¢-$242
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$439¢0.0¢-$4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$15328¢0.0¢-$153
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Other sportsYesResolved$3075¢0.0¢-$30
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$147.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$115.3¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?PoliticsNoResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?FinanceNoResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?World CupNoResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?CryptoNoResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$361.8¢0.0¢-$36
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$336.9¢0.0¢-$33
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$163.1¢0.0¢-$16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?World CupNoResolved$1363¢0.0¢-$13
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$7147¢0.0¢-$71

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$453
Politics-$269
Crypto+$225
Finance+$134
Culture-$56
Tech-$42
Soccer (other)-$40
NBA+$33
Other sports-$32
Premier League+$29
Weather+$24
NHL+$14
Biggest hit
+$376
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Toughest beat
-$699
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$825h ago
  • SPLIT 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.0K6h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$10016h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?$2531d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$791d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$921d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1841d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$751d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$881d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$831d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$851d ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1822d ago