2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $1000 | 50¢ | 59¢ | +$170 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | No | $1000 | 50¢ | 42¢ | -$170 |
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?Other sports | No | $206 | 69¢ | 95¢ | +$79 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $200 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Tech | Yes | $183 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $181 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $172 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $166 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $156 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$17 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $126 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$24 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $94 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$15 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$13 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $88 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $64 | 64¢ | 95¢ | +$30 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $87 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $82 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 60¢ | 89¢ | +$29 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $74 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $79 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Politics | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$12 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?Politics | Yes | $47 | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$7 |
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $43 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?Mentions | No | $38 | 63¢ | 77¢ | +$8 |
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $45 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $34 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?Politics | No | $24 | 30¢ | 41¢ | +$8 |
Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?Mentions | No | $25 | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$5 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Politics | Yes | $24 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $38 | 7.6¢ | 4.7¢ | -$15 |
Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?Mentions | No | $11 | 27¢ | 54¢ | +$11 |
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$18 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?Mentions | No | $9 | 24¢ | 52¢ | +$10 |
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $16 | 33¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 23¢ | 16¢ | -$8 |
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 11¢ | +$4 |
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | Yes | $12 | 59¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "Sucker" in September?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 48¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Weather | No | $5 | 54¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$0 |
Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 60¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $89 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | NoResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Spread: Spain (-1.5)World Cup | FranceResolved | $18 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $245 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $49 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World Cup | OverResolved | $16 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $116 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $198 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$198 |
Will Bessent say "Shadow" during press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $12 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Culture | YesResolved | $23 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $73 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5World Cup | UnderResolved | $12 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $16 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $151 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?Tech | NoResolved | $41 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Crypto | $60kResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Crypto | NoResolved | $100 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $519 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$519 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Bessent say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Culture | NoResolved | $16 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $360 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$360 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $93 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $157 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$157 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $100 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Culture | YesResolved | $17 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?La Liga | NoResolved | $9 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $9 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $78 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $242 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$242 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |