 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $33 | 51¢ | 95¢ | +$28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $68 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 64¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $49 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $46 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $31 | 61¢ | 75¢ | +$7 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $36 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $31 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $22 | 30¢ | 42¢ | +$8 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $28 | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $28 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Weather | Yes | $24 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 50¢ | +$20 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $25 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $27 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $25 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Crypto | No | $21 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 60¢ | 97¢ | +$8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $17 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $18 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Crypto | No | $15 | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $19 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $18 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $15 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $17 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $11 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $17 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $8 | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $21 | 63¢ | 44¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $14 | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $14 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?Economy | No | $12 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $19 | 49¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $13 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesMLB | Atlanta Braves | $13 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $13 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $20 | 62¢ | 39¢ | -$8 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $11 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $12 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | No | $11 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Crypto | No | $12 | 55¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | No | $9 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
| Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $9 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Finance | No | $9 | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other | Yes | $7 | 66¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $11 | 91¢ | 83¢ | -$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 32¢ | 18¢ | -$8 |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $8 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?Weather | Yes | $9 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $9 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $9 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $18 | 84¢ | 42¢ | -$9 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | No | $8 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $8 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Crypto | No | $8 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $9 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | No | $8 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $9 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
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