 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $37 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics | No | $26 | 68¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $28 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $31 | 60¢ | 45¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $22 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $19 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $11 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $18 | 48¢ | 42¢ | -$3 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 21¢ | 48¢ | +$8 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 38¢ | 86¢ | +$8 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 41¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | Yes | $21 | 35¢ | 19¢ | -$10 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 67¢ | 45¢ | -$6 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Tech | No | $4 | 44¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $6 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $5 | 53¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 38¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 40¢ | 84¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 66¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $6 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 45¢ | 39¢ | -$1 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $6 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $1 | 25¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 17¢ | 77¢ | +$4 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $8 | 43¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 7.0¢ | 2.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 9.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$3 |
 Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?Culture | Yes | $4 | 52¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 35¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 47¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $6 | 44¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kai or Speed be eliminated by falling?Culture | NoResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | YesResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Evo Morales arrested by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech | YesResolved | $104 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Kai or Speed die to a zombie?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?Premier League | NoResolved | $6 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | YesResolved | $2 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Cashed out No · LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?$335d ago
Cashed out Yes · LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?$45d ago
Cashed out No · LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?$05d ago
Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$137d ago