← Whale Watch

KeithStarmer

Predicting since Jan 2026576 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.6K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $1.7K riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K92¢95¢+$52
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$1.7K94¢96¢+$39
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢99¢+$68
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$46277¢93¢+$93
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$13321¢36¢+$97
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$22292¢95¢+$8
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$6020¢36¢+$51
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$11626¢23¢-$15
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$4343¢81¢+$38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3737¢38¢+$1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$44.3¢8.3¢+$4
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$43.5¢4.5¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$72.4¢0.7¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?WeatherNoResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$92.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 6?WeatherYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 23?WeatherYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 23?WeatherYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$35.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?WeatherNoResolved$34.5¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 24?WeatherYesResolved$25.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$660¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 27?WeatherYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$53.4¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 26?WeatherYesResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?WeatherNoResolved$129.2¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26?WeatherYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?WeatherYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 19?WeatherYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$435.4¢0.0¢-$43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 24?WeatherYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$65.5¢0.0¢-$6
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$14874¢0.0¢-$148
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 29°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$22.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?WeatherYesResolved$108.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?WeatherNoResolved$39.1¢0.0¢-$3
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$61.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 6?WeatherYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 12?WeatherYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$73.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?PoliticsYesResolved$1818¢0.0¢-$18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2512¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?WeatherYesResolved$820¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$136.5¢0.0¢-$13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?WeatherYesResolved$76.7¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$32.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 24?WeatherYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?PoliticsYesResolved$1835¢0.0¢-$18
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2111¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?WeatherYesResolved$6432¢0.0¢-$64
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 23?WeatherYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?WeatherYesResolved$131.0¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$737¢0.0¢-$7
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$3535¢0.0¢-$35
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?WeatherYesResolved$1230¢0.0¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 11?WeatherYesResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$77.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$33.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?WeatherYesResolved$52.2¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$19.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 12?WeatherYesResolved$85.6¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 11?WeatherYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$178.4¢0.0¢-$17
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 16?WeatherYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 12?WeatherYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?WeatherYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on April 15?WeatherYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$146.9¢0.0¢-$14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 16?WeatherYesResolved$59.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?WeatherYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 30?WeatherYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 86°F or higher on April 26?WeatherNoResolved$24.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on April 22?WeatherNoResolved$12.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 18?WeatherYesResolved$726¢0.0¢-$7
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?WeatherYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?WeatherYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.6K
World Cup+$953
Tech-$104
Champions League+$89
Crypto-$73
Premier League-$58
Weather+$43
Boxing+$40
Mentions+$31
Culture-$28
Finance+$7
NFL+$1
Biggest hit
+$462
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Toughest beat
-$115
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1423d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?$2003d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$153d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$03d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$03d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$93d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$73d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$03d ago