 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $20K | 49¢ | 64¢ | +$5.7K |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $19K | 62¢ | 84¢ | +$6.3K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $15K | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$1.5K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $13K | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$1.4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $3.7K | 21¢ | 84¢ | +$11K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8.5K | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $10K | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $6.9K | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $6.5K | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$2.2K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $6.8K | 72¢ | 81¢ | +$920 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $5.1K | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$914 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $3.3K | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $3.4K | 2.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +$708 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 4.0¢ | 5.7¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $2.4K | 80¢ | 97¢ | +$506 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2.4K | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$335 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $930 | 31¢ | 89¢ | +$1.7K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2.8K | 55¢ | 53¢ | -$125 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $2.4K | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$17 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$396 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 16¢ | 18¢ | +$182 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Politics | No | $974 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $720 | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$115 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $424 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$19 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $250 | 2.5¢ | 2.6¢ | +$15 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $450 | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$195 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $605 | 54¢ | 22¢ | -$364 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $163 | 1.7¢ | 1.6¢ | -$14 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $80 | 1.2¢ | 1.1¢ | -$10 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 53¢ | 50¢ | -$1 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $450 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$450 |
 Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $14K | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3.9K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $800 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$800 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2.9K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.9K |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.1K | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $4.4K | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.4K |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8.7K | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.7K |
 Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?Politics | NoResolved | $590 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$590 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $900 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$900 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?Politics | NoResolved | $308 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$308 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $3.9K | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.9K |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $998 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$998 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $574 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$574 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1.5K | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $4.1K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.1K |
 Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $184 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
 Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?Politics | NoResolved | $486 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$486 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6.3K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.3K |
| Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?Other | NoResolved | $6.2K | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.2K |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Culture | YesResolved | $2.8K | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $2.0K | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Politics | YesResolved | $730 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$730 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1.5K | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7.2K | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7.2K |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Tech | NoResolved | $21K | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21K |
 Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $2.7K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $915 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$915 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech | YesResolved | $764 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$764 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4.4K | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.4K |
 Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $718 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$718 |
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | NoResolved | $920 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$920 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3.4K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.4K |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Politics | NoResolved | $2.6K | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.6K |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $900 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$900 |
 Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?Other sports | NoResolved | $1.9K | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3.5K | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.5K |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $637 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$637 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1.0K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | YesResolved | $625 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$625 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics | YesResolved | $6.2K | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.2K |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $11K | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11K |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6.0K | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.0K |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | NoResolved | $5.9K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.9K |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Economy | NoResolved | $680 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$680 |
 Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Politics | NoResolved | $204 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$204 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $58K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58K |
 Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $720 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$720 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $6.8K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.8K |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1.9K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $13K | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13K |
 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $492 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$492 |
