← Whale Watch

coali10

Predicting since Jun 2026217 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $345K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $90K across 29 NBA markets.

Biggest hit: +$371K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$5.3K5.8¢100¢+$86K
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$62K48¢63¢+$20K
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35K61¢88¢+$16K
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$25K60¢100¢+$16K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40K81¢81¢+$270
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$34K60¢67¢+$3.7K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$36K54¢56¢+$1.8K
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$13K16¢41¢+$21K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$19K20¢20¢-$470
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBANo$5.4K41¢100¢+$7.6K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$4.5K35¢60¢+$3.2K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.0K77¢93¢+$1.2K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$11K7.9¢4.7¢-$4.7K
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$6.1K59¢64¢+$518
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$6.6K10¢9.5¢-$330
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$4.9K4.6¢4.8¢+$160
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.3K79¢95¢+$647
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$1.6K54¢99¢+$1.4K
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K60¢69¢+$393
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsYes$3.9K33¢20¢-$1.6K
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$2.0K69¢77¢+$215
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1.7K80¢88¢+$158
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$80814¢23¢+$475
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$1.5K44¢26¢-$620
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$65433¢44¢+$221
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$5.9K9.8¢1.5¢-$5.0K
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$2.0K18¢7.5¢-$1.2K
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1147.0¢38¢+$500
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5687.0¢6.5¢-$41
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1.3K16¢6.0¢-$817
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$40163¢66¢+$16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$1.4K2.7¢0.8¢-$1.0K
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$3085.0¢4.5¢-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$20980¢94¢+$35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$1951.9¢1.8¢-$5
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$13K11¢0.1¢-$13K
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsYes$1530.8¢0.8¢-$8
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoYes$1185.3¢6.2¢+$20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2.6K13¢0.6¢-$2.5K
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBAYes$6.4K3.0¢0.1¢-$6.3K
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.7¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$59735¢5.5¢-$503
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.5K0.8¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.4K0.9¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsNo$4000.8¢0.1¢-$325
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.4K1.1¢0.1¢-$1.3K
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1005.0¢3.2¢-$36
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1877.6¢2.1¢-$135
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.4K1.4¢0.1¢-$1.4K
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.7K1.7¢0.1¢-$1.7K
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.3K1.4¢0.1¢-$1.3K
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoYes$462.3¢2.1¢-$3
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBAYes$2.1K2.5¢0.1¢-$2.0K
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.3K1.9¢0.1¢-$1.3K
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$451.0¢0.7¢-$13
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$767.0¢2.6¢-$47
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBAYes$1.3K2.6¢0.1¢-$1.3K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$240.6¢0.4¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$2417¢6.3¢-$15
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$204.0¢1.3¢-$14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsNo$3765.0¢0.1¢-$372
Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K3.6¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?NBANoResolved$3.3K20¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18223¢0.0¢-$182
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$15118¢0.0¢-$151
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$7661.5¢0.0¢-$766
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?World CupNoResolved$17K42¢0.0¢-$17K
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsYesResolved$660.6¢0.0¢-$66
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?PoliticsNoResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsWorld CupNoResolved$63K64¢0.0¢-$63K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$7623.3¢0.0¢-$762
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K14¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23K55¢0.0¢-$23K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$55K50¢0.0¢-$55K
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevTennisAlexander ZverevResolved$1.1K23¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$9371.8¢0.0¢-$937
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$7661.5¢0.0¢-$766
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2110.3¢0.0¢-$211
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1.7K8.9¢0.0¢-$1.7K
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$53K28¢0.0¢-$53K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$5619.3¢0.0¢-$561
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$2226¢0.0¢-$22
Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K3.6¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K13¢0.0¢-$2.1K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22K5.3¢0.0¢-$22K
Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1.0K3.6¢0.0¢-$1.0K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$345K
World Cup-$82K
UFC / MMA-$78K
NBA+$72K
Tennis+$15K
Tech-$8.4K
eSports-$3.0K
Soccer (other)+$1.6K
Crypto+$625
Mentions-$26
Finance+$20
Biggest hit
+$371K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$61K
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$15h ago
  • Sold No · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?$4714h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$16715h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3415h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$61115h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$6.2K15h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$26615h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$415h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.9K15h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3515h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$51615h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.1K15h ago