← Whale Watch

buoys

Predicting since Mar 20251,821 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $71K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $8.4K riding on Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?.

Biggest hit: +$9.7K on Starmer out by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$8.4K56¢63¢+$985
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsYes$3.7K35¢43¢+$822
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$3.6K48¢52¢+$253
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.0K44¢60¢+$749
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$2.3K68¢78¢+$326
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?CultureYes$2.1K61¢77¢+$538
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$7365.1¢16¢+$1.5K
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1.9K66¢73¢+$181
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.6K52¢58¢+$198
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K43¢44¢+$22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$99041¢63¢+$522
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K55¢70¢+$293
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?CultureYes$1.2K32¢36¢+$166
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsYes$92039¢55¢+$369
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K32¢31¢-$28
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$94234¢41¢+$200
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$77847¢69¢+$360
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$82958¢79¢+$289
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$1.1K59¢61¢+$23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50639¢82¢+$561
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.1K25¢24¢-$43
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$90640¢44¢+$79
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$1.1K52¢46¢-$146
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$89474¢68¢-$76
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$71584¢92¢+$64
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$62857¢70¢+$140
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$35225¢52¢+$394
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$68751¢52¢+$7
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYes$59310¢12¢+$83
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$55169¢83¢+$116
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$1.1K20¢13¢-$395
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$62679¢83¢+$27
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$6003.9¢4.2¢+$52
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6094.9¢5.1¢+$30
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$64436¢36¢-$6
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$61056¢56¢+$8
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$48768¢85¢+$118
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$65338¢35¢-$57
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$55365¢67¢+$15
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?PoliticsYes$59272¢69¢-$28
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?TechYes$45954¢64¢+$81
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$52526¢26¢+$9
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$46056¢65¢+$74
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$55562¢56¢-$49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$53188¢83¢-$31
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$41667¢80¢+$81
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?CultureYes$44441¢46¢+$50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$50554¢51¢-$32
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$55233¢28¢-$85
Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsYes$48929¢27¢-$25
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? PoliticsNo$46466¢66¢-$6
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$44543¢43¢+$1
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$41870¢75¢+$25
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsNo$36757¢69¢+$75
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$17637¢92¢+$259
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30?TechNo$30755¢77¢+$122
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$44860¢57¢-$20
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$31060¢82¢+$117
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$37163¢72¢+$54
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3982.1¢2.3¢+$25
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$45339¢34¢-$47
Dua Lipa pregnant in 2026?CultureNo$34468¢78¢+$45
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$36331¢33¢+$24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$26032¢48¢+$123
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$24954¢81¢+$125
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$37119¢19¢-$4
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$18217¢33¢+$173
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2355.9¢8.8¢+$114
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?PoliticsYes$30045¢48¢+$16
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$26764¢76¢+$48
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsYes$43559¢43¢-$122
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$22026¢36¢+$86
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$22875¢99¢+$72
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?CultureYes$23631¢38¢+$56
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?PoliticsYes$33038¢34¢-$39
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?PoliticsYes$30042¢41¢-$9
Will Michele Tafoya be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$22675¢97¢+$64
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$28619¢20¢+$2
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?PoliticsYes$24439¢45¢+$36
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$13318¢35¢+$133
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$31535¢26¢-$87
Japan recession in 2026?EconomyNo$14157¢91¢+$86
António Guterres out by December 31?PoliticsNo$16959¢78¢+$53
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$34838¢23¢-$135
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$21041¢42¢+$1
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$22546¢43¢-$19
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$18960¢65¢+$16
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsNo$18667¢74¢+$18
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?PoliticsNo$18060¢65¢+$16
Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?PoliticsYes$8528¢66¢+$111
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$14459¢80¢+$50
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?PoliticsNo$13033¢48¢+$61
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2111.3¢1.1¢-$25
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsNo$9646¢84¢+$78
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?PoliticsYes$10447¢78¢+$66
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K25¢3.2¢-$1.1K
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$16850¢49¢-$3
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$5625¢74¢+$109
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$16644¢44¢-$4
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$26624¢14¢-$108

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$71K
Culture+$9.7K
Weather+$2.0K
Tech+$1.1K
NFL+$932
World Cup-$538
NHL-$263
Hockey (other)-$257
Economy-$251
Other sports+$225
Mentions+$194
Olympics+$133
Biggest hit
+$9.7K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.2K
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$31h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$91h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$101h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$181h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1551h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$641h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$521h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$32h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$1262h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$262h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$662h ago