← Whale Watch

TruthSignalFramework

Predicting since Feb 202687 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?FinanceYes$2013¢39¢+$38
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$3021¢36¢+$21
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?CultureYes$2030¢69¢+$26
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$2065¢96¢+$10
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$2068¢100¢+$9
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsNo$2024¢30¢+$5
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?EconomyYes$2046¢56¢+$5
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.25B?FinanceNo$2044¢53¢+$4
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?FinanceYes$2069¢79¢+$3
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 7%-9%?FinanceYes$2041¢47¢+$3
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$2021¢24¢+$2
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 15%+?FinanceNo$2075¢83¢+$2
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$2016¢18¢+$2
Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 9%-12%?FinanceYes$2036¢39¢+$2
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?EconomyNo$2152¢53¢+$0
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$2152¢52¢-$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?EconomyNo$2064¢64¢+$0
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?EconomyYes$2149¢49¢-$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$2027¢27¢-$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$2026¢26¢+$0
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?EconomyNo$2063¢63¢+$0
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?EconomyNo$2067¢67¢-$0
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?FinanceNo$2071¢71¢-$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2015¢14¢-$1
Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 22%-24%?FinanceYes$2040¢36¢-$2
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?EconomyYes$2015¢13¢-$3
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?WeatherNo$2069¢59¢-$3
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?PoliticsYes$2076¢63¢-$3
Will ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?FinanceNo$2041¢28¢-$7
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31?World CupYes$2135¢22¢-$8
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?World CupYes$915¢20¢+$3
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?EconomyNo$1052¢52¢+$0
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in July?EconomyYes$2014¢7.2¢-$9
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1120¢18¢-$1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2022¢10¢-$11
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?CultureYes$2024¢4.0¢-$17
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $64B?FinanceYesResolved$2041¢0.0¢-$20
Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $35B?FinanceYesResolved$2069¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$2020¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$2056¢0.0¢-$20
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?FinanceYesResolved$2045¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$299
Crypto+$135
Finance+$103
Economy+$92
Tech+$72
Other+$32
Culture-$31
World Cup-$5
Weather+$3
Biggest hit
+$71
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$136
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 115m by August 31?$53h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?$114h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$74h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$44h ago
  • Bought No · Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?$214h ago
  • Bought No · Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?$205h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?$215h ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$211d ago
  • Bought No · Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$211d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$211d ago