← Whale Watch

Monopoly_Money

Predicting since Jan 2024286 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $148K on Politics markets since Jan 2024.

Right now: $200K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$44K on US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$100K50¢56¢+$13K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$100K50¢44¢-$13K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$39K24¢20¢-$6.5K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$6.8K24¢20¢-$1.2K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.6K75¢93¢+$829
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.1K77¢89¢+$470
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$82533¢88¢+$1.4K
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7.8K45¢12¢-$5.9K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.4K4.1¢5.1¢+$357
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K62¢88¢+$510
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$90765¢92¢+$374
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$78078¢95¢+$165
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$64481¢96¢+$121
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$30860¢88¢+$143
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K37¢14¢-$675
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$24533¢43¢+$74
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$34635¢12¢-$226
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1002.0¢2.4¢+$18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$8787¢86¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$7543¢43¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4545¢41¢-$5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1569¢76¢+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$5050¢11¢-$39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10677¢0.0¢-$106
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$39068¢0.0¢-$390
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8.1K58¢0.0¢-$8.1K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$3.8K70¢0.0¢-$3.8K
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1.3K21¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?BoxingNoResolved$5656¢0.0¢-$56
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$872.9¢0.0¢-$87
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?BoxingNoResolved$990¢0.0¢-$9
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1469¢0.0¢-$14
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$85364¢0.0¢-$853
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$18K69¢0.0¢-$18K
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2.6K70¢0.0¢-$2.6K
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$87022¢0.0¢-$870
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.9K55¢0.0¢-$1.9K
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$7897¢0.0¢-$78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8.8K54¢0.0¢-$8.8K
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$947.5¢0.0¢-$94
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?PoliticsYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$47058¢0.0¢-$470
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$14K19¢0.0¢-$14K
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick KyrgiosTennisSabalenkaResolved$7916¢0.0¢-$79
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$18963¢0.0¢-$189
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?BoxingNoResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36051¢0.0¢-$360
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.2K70¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1428¢0.0¢-$14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1.0K59¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$65961¢0.0¢-$659
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$38076¢0.0¢-$380
US strike on Mexico by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$38010¢0.0¢-$380
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1.0K91¢0.0¢-$1.0K
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?PoliticsYesResolved$208.7¢0.0¢-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4315¢0.0¢-$43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49343¢0.0¢-$493
Trump out as President in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$302.3¢0.0¢-$30
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$12632¢0.0¢-$126
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?EconomyNoResolved$14798¢0.0¢-$147
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?TechYesResolved$26330¢0.0¢-$263
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1.8K82¢0.0¢-$1.8K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2323¢0.0¢-$23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$1.6K21¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?CultureNoResolved$5456¢0.0¢-$54
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.6K56¢0.0¢-$5.6K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$46879¢0.0¢-$468

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$148K
Crypto+$24K
NBA+$16K
Tech-$5.5K
Culture+$3.6K
Other+$3.5K
Mentions+$300
Economy-$147
Tennis-$56
Boxing+$41
NFL+$40
UFC / MMA+$35
Biggest hit
+$44K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Toughest beat
-$191K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$202d ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? $114d ago
  • Sold Yes · U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? $455d ago