← Whale Watch

BerkshireHahaway

Predicting since Jan 20251,363 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $30K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $6.3K across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.4K79¢81¢+$96
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$3.2K94¢96¢+$48
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.6K95¢99¢+$115
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.3K86¢89¢+$87
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K80¢99¢+$362
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$1.7K89¢99¢+$177
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K86¢90¢+$84
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K90¢93¢+$48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.6K81¢82¢+$21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$1.3K74¢77¢+$47
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1.4K63¢57¢-$141
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K57¢68¢+$203
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K97¢99¢+$22
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$90669¢93¢+$312
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$70670¢86¢+$161
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$82692¢93¢+$7
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$70178¢88¢+$87
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$69680¢89¢+$84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$87367¢57¢-$126
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$61082¢100¢+$129
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$77979¢71¢-$87
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsNo$66696¢97¢+$7
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$60862¢69¢+$64
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsNo$48564¢89¢+$186
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsYes$60985¢89¢+$27
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$62289¢89¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$39456¢87¢+$215
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$59499¢100¢+$6
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$45776¢95¢+$110
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$51574¢80¢+$42
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$54592¢93¢+$5
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$51657¢56¢-$7
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$42284¢92¢+$38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$38258¢66¢+$53
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoNo$37863¢70¢+$42
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?PoliticsNo$36773¢80¢+$33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$34486¢99¢+$53
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?CryptoNo$20852¢99¢+$186
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$59474¢49¢-$202
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?NBANo$33473¢85¢+$55
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?CryptoNo$34151¢57¢+$41
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$29875¢94¢+$78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$18045¢92¢+$186
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$21253¢79¢+$102
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$29896¢99¢+$11
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$28997¢98¢+$1
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$27090¢96¢+$16
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$28595¢96¢+$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$26789¢92¢+$8
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$24787¢91¢+$11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$18562¢81¢+$58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$23478¢79¢+$4
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$18365¢79¢+$37
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBANo$15879¢100¢+$42
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19899¢100¢+$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16281¢100¢+$37
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$19196¢99¢+$8
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$18279¢87¢+$16
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Other sportsNo$18593¢97¢+$10
Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBAYes$18693¢96¢+$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$14874¢94¢+$39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$15046¢56¢+$36
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17994¢97¢+$6
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$16281¢91¢+$19
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$16583¢90¢+$14
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$17487¢89¢+$3
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$42256¢24¢-$246
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$17286¢88¢+$3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$15652¢57¢+$17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$15980¢86¢+$12
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$16683¢85¢+$3
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$34870¢34¢-$180
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?TechAnthropic$14774¢78¢+$9
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$14895¢97¢+$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8040¢63¢+$45
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$10854¢61¢+$14
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$10991¢93¢+$2
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$21772¢34¢-$116
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?PoliticsNo$9595¢100¢+$4
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9898¢99¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?PoliticsNo$8989¢93¢+$4
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9292¢90¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$8181¢90¢+$9
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$6430¢41¢+$21
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$6923¢26¢+$7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$6684¢91¢+$5
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$6161¢68¢+$7
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$4676¢97¢+$13
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechYes$13969¢29¢-$81
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?PoliticsNo$3575¢89¢+$6
Will Trump resign before 2027?PoliticsNo$3994¢96¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$5711¢7.0¢-$22
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$511¢81¢+$29
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsYes$2784¢93¢+$3
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$2795¢97¢+$0
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$2387¢94¢+$2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$12160¢12¢-$98
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$7236¢12¢-$49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$2323¢21¢-$2
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?PoliticsNo$1686¢90¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$30K
Culture+$1.4K
World Cup-$1.2K
Tech+$658
NBA+$483
Crypto-$354
Finance-$336
Boxing-$289
Mentions+$112
Economy+$110
Champions League-$92
Weather+$80
Biggest hit
+$927
Maduro out in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$3.0K
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?$162m ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$14827m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$1971h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$234h ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3976h ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3976h ago
  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3966h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Draymond Green play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1866h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1513h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$1116h ago
  • Bought No · Modi out by December 31, 2026?$7617h ago