← Whale Watch

resfeber

Predicting since Aug 20241,568 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $8.6K on Tech markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $13K across 2 Formula 1 markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.1K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$9.6K52¢75¢+$4.3K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$6.6K25¢44¢+$4.8K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$4.8K81¢82¢+$63
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$2.4K70¢83¢+$455
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$3.1K11¢9.4¢-$472
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3.7K34¢24¢-$1.1K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$2.1K16¢14¢-$309
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.5K85¢90¢+$101
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K48¢63¢+$354
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$46429¢78¢+$795
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$90045¢56¢+$230
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1.4K21¢15¢-$385
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$62066¢97¢+$286
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K23¢17¢-$318
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$1.3K20¢14¢-$438
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$80355¢59¢+$66
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$72928¢33¢+$103
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$53358¢87¢+$257
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$72083¢91¢+$64
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$63711¢11¢+$22
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$11017¢100¢+$540
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$51963¢68¢+$37
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$46494¢98¢+$20
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$29646¢50¢+$25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$37252¢43¢-$64
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$29865¢64¢-$3
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$9132¢100¢+$192
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$24087¢99¢+$33
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?PoliticsYes$39420¢14¢-$131
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?PoliticsYes$26064¢65¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsYes$25064¢66¢+$8
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$20845¢56¢+$49
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$11142¢96¢+$142
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsYes$21569¢80¢+$35
Will Movsar Evloev be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$21758¢63¢+$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$28250¢42¢-$48
Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$33419¢12¢-$116
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$27371¢56¢-$56
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$19370¢70¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$17535¢38¢+$14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$29113¢8.5¢-$107
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$15871¢81¢+$21
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$17812¢12¢-$7
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$15851¢56¢+$12
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$18914¢12¢-$24
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsYes$33522¢11¢-$173
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$7347¢100¢+$80
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11123¢30¢+$34
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$13067¢73¢+$12
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$15439¢32¢-$29
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$6113¢27¢+$61
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$5546¢100¢+$64
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$1225.1¢4.9¢-$5
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9428¢34¢+$18
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$10411¢11¢+$8
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$9372¢87¢+$19
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$11725¢24¢-$6
Will Curtis Blaydes be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$9692¢99¢+$8
Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$9480¢80¢+$0
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$27015¢4.5¢-$191
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsYes$7417¢18¢+$4
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$10621¢15¢-$30
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$8660¢53¢-$10
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$857.9¢6.9¢-$11
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsYes$422.1¢3.6¢+$29
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$6082¢94¢+$8
Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$9675¢51¢-$31
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?Basketball (other)Yes$7810¢8.0¢-$17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$5897¢100¢+$2
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$273.5¢7.2¢+$29
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$5274¢77¢+$2
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$4048¢54¢+$5
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$4639¢37¢-$2
Will Lerone Murphy be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$3890¢99¢+$4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3372.9¢0.4¢-$296
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsNo$3365¢79¢+$7
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$4319¢17¢-$4
Will Somalia have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$4069¢65¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$525.1¢3.6¢-$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$390.7¢0.7¢-$5
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$3125¢25¢-$1
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$1535¢64¢+$13
Will Ethiopia have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$4071¢48¢-$13
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3254¢43¢-$7
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?PoliticsYes$4641¢21¢-$23
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?PoliticsYes$2154¢53¢-$0
Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$53.4¢13¢+$15
Will Brent Bien win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$123.3¢5.0¢+$6
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$1948¢43¢-$2
Will Adam Schwarze be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$718.9¢2.1¢-$54
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$193.7¢3.0¢-$4
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?PoliticsYes$1279¢81¢+$0
Will Nigeria have an Ebola case in 2026?WeatherNo$1170¢78¢+$1
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$194.8¢3.3¢-$6
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$1414¢12¢-$1
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$1295¢99¢+$1
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$25453¢2.3¢-$243
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$981¢100¢+$2
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$1191¢90¢-$0
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$859¢73¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$8.6K
Soccer (other)+$6.9K
NBA+$5.5K
Culture-$4.9K
Formula 1-$4.7K
Mentions+$2.6K
Hockey (other)+$2.6K
Boxing-$2.5K
Other sports-$2.4K
NFL+$2.2K
UFC / MMA+$2.2K
World Cup+$2.1K
Biggest hit
+$9.1K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$7.2K
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$550m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?$456m ago
  • Sold No · Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$11h ago
  • Sold No · Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?$11h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$92h ago
  • Sold No · Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$92h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$64h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$184h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$44h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$24h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$94h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$344h ago