← Whale Watch

greasytaco

Predicting since Jun 20252,966 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.7¢100¢+$19
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$591¢100¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$249¢100¢+$3
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$486¢100¢+$1
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$597¢100¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsYesResolved$592¢100¢+$0
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$364¢100¢+$2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsNoResolved$489¢100¢+$1
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$353¢100¢+$2
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$365¢100¢+$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$364¢100¢+$2
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?PoliticsNoResolved$597¢100¢+$0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$489¢100¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$480¢100¢+$1
Netanyahu out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$595¢100¢+$0
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$593¢100¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$243¢100¢+$3
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsNoResolved$599¢100¢+$0
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$592¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$596¢100¢+$0
Kash Patel out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$472¢100¢+$1
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$474¢100¢+$1
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$248¢100¢+$3
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?TechNoResolved$361¢100¢+$2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$594¢100¢+$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢+$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$598¢98¢-$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢97¢+$0
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$596¢97¢+$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$591¢95¢+$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$594¢95¢+$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$473¢88¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$240¢88¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$368¢80¢+$1
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$122¢68¢+$2
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$366¢68¢+$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$296¢98¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?PoliticsYes$363¢25¢-$2
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5La LigaUnderResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?FinanceYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Boyacá Chicó FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Portsmouth FCResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)Soccer (other)Aalesunds FKResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$363¢0.0¢-$3
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)YesResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Club Alianza Atlético vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Aidan MayoTennisAidan MayoResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
AS Saint-Étienne vs. USL Dunkerque: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)Soccer (other)CA MineiroResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Holstein Kiel (-1.5)Soccer (other)1. FC KaiserslauternResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
CA Boca Juniors vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$356¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$334¢0.0¢-$3
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)NoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreSoccer (other)YesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody PearsonTennisYi ZhouResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)AS Monaco FCResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)Liaoning Tieren FCResolved$354¢0.0¢-$3
Göztepe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$358¢0.0¢-$3
ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
SK Brann vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$475¢0.0¢-$4
Alianza FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5La LigaUnderResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07?Soccer (other)NoResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Kristiansund BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Soccer (other)Silkeborg IFResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Wrexham AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5MLSUnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Soccer (other)FC MidtjyllandResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5Premier LeagueUnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
CS Cienciano vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?FinanceYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Minnesota United FC (-2.5)MLSMinnesota United FCResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
FC Dallas vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 1.5MLSOverResolved$351¢0.0¢-$3
Hornets vs. CelticsNBAHornetsResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)MLSLos Angeles GalaxyResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5La LigaOverResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5BundesligaUnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5MLSOverResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)NBANuggetsResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?Champions LeagueNoResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$838
Other sports-$668
Soccer (other)-$627
NFL-$463
La Liga-$302
Premier League-$279
Tennis-$266
Economy-$145
MLB+$124
Tech-$119
Bundesliga+$76
Golf-$60
Biggest hit
+$432
Yankees vs. Twins
Toughest beat
-$350
Will XRP reach $2.4 in July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Kash Patel out by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$52mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$62mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$52mo ago