Niv44

Predicting since Aug 202647 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics	Yes	$10	35¢	34¢	-$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$5	43¢	51¢	+$1
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics	Yes	$3	17¢	14¢	-$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	40¢	46¢	+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	Yes	$2	18¢	17¢	-$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics	Yes	$3	18¢	8.8¢	-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics	Yes	$2	9.0¢	6.5¢	-$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	9.0¢	6.0¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$4	12¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$25	45¢	0.0¢	-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Politics	NoResolved	$5	41¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$18	46¢	0.0¢	-$18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$3	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Culture	YesResolved	$25	61¢	0.0¢	-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	76¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	47¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$25

Crypto+$8

Politics+$6

Biggest hit

+$26

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Toughest beat

-$15

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Recent moves

Sold No · Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$5624d ago
Bought Yes · Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$251mo ago
Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$51mo ago
Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$31mo ago
Bought Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51mo ago
Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$31mo ago