 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $542 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$27 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $312 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 70¢ | 95¢ | +$39 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $83 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $70 | 89¢ | 77¢ | -$9 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 89¢ | 77¢ | -$7 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $40 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $135 | 45¢ | 13¢ | -$97 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $36 | 79¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $19 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $16 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 72¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $17 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 68¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 19, 2026?Culture | Yes | $11 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.4¢ | 3.5¢ | +$4 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $18 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 89¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 3.0¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 51¢ | 23¢ | -$7 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 63¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.2¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 20¢ | 5.1¢ | -$13 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $4 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $3 | 48¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 49¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $182 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $9 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $369 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$369 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $26 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | LUA GamingResolved | $13 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CeSports | Movistar KOIResolved | $12 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Xtreme GamingResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $48 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| Dota 2: Hive vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffseSports | HiveResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi BasilettiTennis | Noemi BasilettiResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be at least 48m?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $29 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
| Kash Patel out by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Sold Yes · Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?$38h ago
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Sold No · Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?$291d ago