← Whale Watch

astrobeliever

Predicting since Apr 202580 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5519¢8.5¢-$30
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$77.7¢6.7¢-$1
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$514¢15¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1113¢3.6¢-$8
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherYes$28.6¢7.9¢-$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$114¢14¢+$0
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by August 31?WeatherYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Asia Cup: Bangladesh vs IndiaCricketBangladeshResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will India win?CricketYesResolved$3068¢0.0¢-$30
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?WeatherYesResolved$719¢0.0¢-$7
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$204.9¢0.0¢-$20
Xi Jinping out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?WeatherYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$34.9¢0.0¢-$3
Macron out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionWeatherNoResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?WeatherYesResolved$115.5¢0.0¢-$11
Megaquake by September 30?WeatherYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$22.9¢0.0¢-$2
Megaquake by June 30?WeatherYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
T20 World Cup: India vs New ZealandCricketNew ZealandResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$58.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Shehbaz Sharif out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)CricketPakistanResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Megaquake by October 31?WeatherYesResolved$37.0¢0.0¢-$3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Ireland (Game 1)CricketIrelandResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$508.6¢0.0¢-$50
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?PoliticsNoResolved$1022¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win?CricketYesResolved$3038¢0.0¢-$30
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will India win the 2025 Asia Cup?CricketNoResolved$1740¢0.0¢-$17
China x India military clash by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$254.4¢0.0¢-$25
Trump out as President by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20.9¢0.0¢-$2
Megaquake by August 31?WeatherYesResolved$208.5¢0.0¢-$20
Xi Jinping out before October?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Will Pakistan win the 2025 Asia Cup?CricketYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 5)CricketZimbabweResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Megaquake by December 31?WeatherYesResolved$278.6¢0.0¢-$27
Megaquake by January 31?WeatherYesResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?WeatherYesResolved$2318¢0.0¢-$23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1028¢0.0¢-$10
Macron out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$64.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will the match end in a draw?CricketYesResolved$28.8¢0.0¢-$2
Modi out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1573.1¢0.0¢-$157
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?CryptoYesResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?WeatherYesResolved$49.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?WeatherYesResolved$279.0¢0.0¢-$27
Will England win?CricketYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win the match?CricketYesResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$335¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon register the America Party before October?PoliticsYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$400
Weather+$308
Cricket+$22
Crypto-$3
Biggest hit
+$340
Megaquake before August?
Toughest beat
-$6
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$55d ago
  • Bought Yes · Modi out by December 31, 2026?$55d ago