 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $1.8K | 26¢ | 99¢ | +$5.2K |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $3.2K | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$372 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $1.6K | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$385 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$694 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $634 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$34 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $809 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$156 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $466 | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$170 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $470 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$42 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $274 | 11¢ | 20¢ | +$220 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $219 | 36¢ | 65¢ | +$174 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $255 | 64¢ | 87¢ | +$92 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | Yes | $313 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$5 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 3.9¢ | 6.0¢ | +$100 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Tech | Yes | $121 | 11¢ | 25¢ | +$157 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $169 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$99 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $166 | 26¢ | 41¢ | +$91 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | OpenAI | $194 | 49¢ | 64¢ | +$57 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $229 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $305 | 34¢ | 25¢ | -$88 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $128 | 47¢ | 75¢ | +$76 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $514 | 24¢ | 8.5¢ | -$334 |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $207 | 85¢ | 73¢ | -$30 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$36 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Finance | No | $233 | 21¢ | 16¢ | -$63 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $146 | 10¢ | 11¢ | +$8 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $376 | 21¢ | 8.5¢ | -$224 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $91 | 22¢ | 35¢ | +$53 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $96 | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$44 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $197 | 3.7¢ | 2.3¢ | -$74 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $110 | 31¢ | 35¢ | +$12 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $113 | 7.7¢ | 7.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $81 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$23 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $154 | 58¢ | 36¢ | -$60 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $208 | 42¢ | 14¢ | -$141 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Tech | Yes | $82 | 6.3¢ | 5.0¢ | -$17 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $121 | 11¢ | 4.1¢ | -$76 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | Yes | $52 | 5.2¢ | 3.5¢ | -$16 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $42 | 5.5¢ | 3.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $67 | 2.7¢ | 1.1¢ | -$41 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 20¢ | 23¢ | +$3 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 5.3¢ | 6.3¢ | +$4 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $350 | 45¢ | 2.4¢ | -$332 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $69 | 9.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$66 |
