← Whale Watch
rewardbots
Down $5.4K on Politics markets since Jun 2026.
Right now: $2.9K riding on Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?.
Biggest hit: +$5.5K on Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2.9K | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$169 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $495 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$99 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | Yes | $382 | 53¢ | 78¢ | +$176 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $446 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$40 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $284 | 81¢ | 52¢ | -$102 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | No | $36 | 1.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$35 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | No | $139 | 14¢ | 0.1¢ | -$137 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $538 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$538 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$5.4K
Tech+$4.5K
World Cup+$3.2K
Culture-$304
Finance-$119
Mentions-$113
Biggest hit
+$5.5K
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.8K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent moves
- Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.2K1d ago
- Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$8001d ago
- Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.4K1d ago
- Bought Yes · Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$3891d ago
- Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1391d ago
- Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$361d ago
- Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3831d ago
- Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7501d ago
- Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$4531d ago
Sold Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?$4011d ago- Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1001d ago
Sold Yes · Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$11d ago