 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 89¢ | 57¢ | -$7 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$13 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $10 | 53¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$11 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Booming" this week? (December 8 - 14)Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?Other sports | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Steve Bannon say "Trump" 10+ times at AmericaFest events on December 19?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 ICE shooter charged by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionTech | NoResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Trump sue the BBC?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 8 - 14)Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out Yes · Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$710d ago
Cashed out No · Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$1410d ago
Cashed out Yes · Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$1810d ago
Cashed out Yes · Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$212mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$502mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?$65mo ago