← Whale Watch

Palantoad

Predicting since Feb 2025443 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$17.2¢74¢+$9
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$366¢81¢+$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$236¢43¢+$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$210.0¢8.5¢-$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$152¢63¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$125¢27¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$247¢26¢-$1
Clavicular sentenced to prison?CultureYes$112¢13¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$265¢34¢-$1
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?World CupYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?TechYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?TechYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? TechNoResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$23.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$12.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
ETH flipped in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYesResolved$19.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$29.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1YesResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Astronomer Divorce ParlayCultureYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 16?FinanceUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?PoliticsNoResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$16.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Thunder vs. SpursNBAThunderResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Callan Rydz win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$137¢0.0¢-$1
Caitlin Clark stalker pleads guilty?Other sportsNoResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?FinanceNoResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$21.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYesResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ricky Evans win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?Formula 1YesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?World CupYesResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?TechYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?CultureYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$18.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?TechYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will any country leave NATO in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?World CupYesResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?TechYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Michael van Gerwen win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?World CupYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Stephen Bunting win the PDC World Darts Championship?Other sportsYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$54.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$176
Politics-$77
Formula 1+$74
NBA-$70
World Cup-$35
Other+$30
Tech-$15
Other sports-$13
Economy+$11
Culture-$9
Mentions-$9
Olympics-$3
Biggest hit
+$169
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Toughest beat
-$51
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$76d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46d ago