← Whale Watch

0xB16B00B5

Predicting since Jul 20241,917 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.5K on Economy markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $3.5K across 3 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on Dolphins vs. Texans.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$3.5K100¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$2.7K99¢100¢+$17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K88¢96¢+$84
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$90691¢97¢+$60
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?EconomyNo$65673¢89¢+$149
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?EconomyNo$58976¢85¢+$69
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$56192¢98¢+$38
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$52798¢100¢+$11
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$46393¢99¢+$32
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?EconomyNo$46092¢93¢+$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$46760¢56¢-$31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$42499¢100¢+$4
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$28093¢99¢+$16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$27391¢92¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$22876¢81¢+$14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$20193¢96¢+$7
ECB rate cut in 2026?EconomyNo$19184¢88¢+$9
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$17079¢93¢+$28
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?CryptoNo$18890¢95¢+$9
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$18693¢96¢+$5
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsNo$13690¢97¢+$11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?PoliticsNo$13279¢86¢+$12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$10410¢13¢+$21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$11789¢91¢+$2
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?PoliticsNo$10691¢98¢+$8
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$9790¢99¢+$9
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$8778¢90¢+$13
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$9699¢100¢+$1
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$7373¢94¢+$21
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$6288¢96¢+$5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5791¢99¢+$6
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?PoliticsNo$6097¢100¢+$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$5292¢96¢+$2
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$5094¢97¢+$2
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$4896¢97¢+$0
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?EconomyNo$4896¢96¢-$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?EconomyYes$4535¢27¢-$11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?PoliticsNo$3189¢95¢+$2
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1512¢26¢+$16
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2477¢95¢+$5
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2579¢88¢+$3
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?PoliticsNo$2480¢93¢+$4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$94.6¢13¢+$17
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$2332¢34¢+$2
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyYes$1122¢37¢+$8
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$199.9¢7.0¢-$6
Brex IPO before 2027?TechYes$60.7¢1.4¢+$6
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50.2¢0.4¢+$6
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$50.2¢0.4¢+$6
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$981¢95¢+$1
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?PoliticsNo$878¢93¢+$2
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$656¢87¢+$3
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$26.0¢22¢+$6
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$891¢99¢+$1
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$779¢94¢+$1
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchCryptoYes$1785¢42¢-$9
Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoYes$1682¢41¢-$8
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$100.2¢0.1¢-$3
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?EconomyYes$1159¢38¢-$4
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechYes$82.6¢2.3¢-$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$465¢97¢+$2
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?OtherNo$583¢94¢+$1
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$419¢30¢+$2
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$341¢49¢+$1
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$20.3¢0.8¢+$3
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$10.1¢0.5¢+$3
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?EconomyYes$20.2¢0.4¢+$2
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$00.2¢2.7¢+$3
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$354¢62¢+$0
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?TechYes$389¢95¢+$0
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?EconomyYes$00.2¢1.8¢+$2
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$285¢97¢+$0
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?EconomyYes$00.2¢13¢+$1
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?CryptoNo$191¢93¢+$0
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$03.0¢89¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Economy+$6.5K
Politics+$6.5K
NFL+$3.7K
Crypto+$717
Premier League+$149
NBA+$111
Tech+$88
Culture+$65
Soccer (other)+$64
Other sports+$60
Mentions+$53
Basketball (other)+$50
Biggest hit
+$3.3K
Dolphins vs. Texans
Toughest beat
-$49
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$03h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?$183h ago
  • Bought No · Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$3.5K10h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?$4412h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?$7912h ago
  • Bought No · Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$27313h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$22813h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$014h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$014h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$014h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$014h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$014h ago