Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $2.9K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $2.2K | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$113 |
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $2.0K | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $1.4K | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$83 |
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Economy | No | $818 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$191 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $931 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$53 |
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $950 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$14 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $935 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $678 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$66 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $561 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$43 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $558 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $476 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $398 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $385 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $383 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Politics | Yes | $380 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $368 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$10 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $364 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$10 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $279 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $240 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$14 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics | No | $216 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $209 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Crypto | No | $188 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$13 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $186 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
Macron out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $185 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $149 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Politics | No | $132 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $117 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Economy | No | $116 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Crypto | No | $113 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $87 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $97 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?Tech | No | $103 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $73 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$23 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $93 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $91 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $91 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $82 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $59 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $57 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $52 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $48 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $45 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
Will GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?Finance | No | $35 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 79¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 77¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026?Finance | No | $23 | 76¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $16 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.6¢ | 7.5¢ | +$6 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 3.4¢ | 5.1¢ | +$5 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $6 | 0.7¢ | 1.3¢ | +$5 |
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $9 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $7 | 42¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 41¢ | -$8 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$3 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.3¢ | 1.7¢ | +$5 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Other | No | $5 | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 65¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.9¢ | 2.5¢ | -$1 |
Will PPI YoY be 4.5% in August?Economy | Yes | $2 | 2.1¢ | 4.5¢ | +$2 |
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?Economy | Yes | $11 | 59¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will PPI YoY be 4.7% in August?Economy | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 3.8¢ | +$2 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.9¢ | +$1 |
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $0 | 3.0¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |