Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $3.5K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2.7K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $1.0K | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$84 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $906 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$60 |
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Economy | No | $656 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$149 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $589 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$69 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $561 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$38 |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $527 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $463 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$32 |
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Economy | No | $460 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $467 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$31 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $424 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $280 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $273 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $228 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$14 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $201 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
ECB rate cut in 2026?Economy | No | $191 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $170 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$28 |
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Crypto | No | $188 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $186 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Politics | No | $136 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$11 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Politics | No | $132 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$12 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $104 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$21 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $117 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision?Politics | No | $106 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $97 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $87 | 78¢ | 90¢ | +$13 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $96 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $73 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$21 |
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Politics | No | $62 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
JD Vance out as VP by July 31?Politics | No | $60 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $52 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $50 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $48 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $48 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $45 | 35¢ | 27¢ | -$11 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 12¢ | 26¢ | +$16 |
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 4.6¢ | 13¢ | +$17 |
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $23 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 37¢ | +$8 |
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $19 | 9.9¢ | 7.0¢ | -$6 |
Brex IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $6 | 0.7¢ | 1.4¢ | +$6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$6 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$6 |
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $6 | 56¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 22¢ | +$6 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 91¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchCrypto | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 42¢ | -$9 |
| Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 41¢ | -$8 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31?Economy | Yes | $11 | 59¢ | 38¢ | -$4 |
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Tech | Yes | $8 | 2.6¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Other | No | $5 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $5 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $3 | 41¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.3¢ | 0.8¢ | +$3 |
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | +$2 |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 2.7¢ | +$3 |
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Tech | Yes | $3 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 1.8¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 0.2¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $0 | 3.0¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |