SebasZ

Predicting since May 2026160 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics	No	$10	98¢	100¢	+$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics	No	$4	96¢	95¢	-$0
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics	No	$2	81¢	96¢	+$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics	No	$2	95¢	95¢	+$0
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$1	65¢	97¢	+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	86¢	63¢	-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$2	61¢	42¢	-$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics	No	$1	87¢	96¢	+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	No	$1	92¢	99¢	+$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$1	89¢	96¢	+$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics	No	$1	88¢	89¢	+$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	61¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	58¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$1	86¢	0.0¢	-$1
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	65¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	86¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	85¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Donald Trump be shown 3-5 times at the World Cup Final?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	60¢	0.0¢	-$1
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup	ColombiaResolved	$1	60¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total CornersWorld Cup	OverResolved	$1	82¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy	YesResolved	$7	77¢	0.0¢	-$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$23	80¢	0.0¢	-$23
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	68¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics	DownResolved	$1	93¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	89¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	31¢	0.0¢	-$1
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Politics	NoResolved	$1	92¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$27

World Cup+$9

Economy-$8

Soccer (other)-$6

Weather+$1

NFL+$1

Tech-$1

Culture-$1

Crypto+$0

Biggest hit

+$6

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$8

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$11d ago
Cashed out No · Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?$13d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?$113d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?$113d ago
Bought Yes · Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?$117d ago
Bought No · Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?$117d ago
Cashed out No · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?$2518d ago
Bought No · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?$2519d ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?$119d ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?$119d ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?$119d ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?$119d ago