← Whale Watch

Fridius

Predicting since Jan 20261,978 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $20K on Crypto markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $2.3K riding on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K93¢94¢+$13
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.5K5.1¢5.1¢+$15
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$54992¢97¢+$30
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$51698¢99¢+$4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5205.2¢5.1¢-$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$49298¢99¢+$4
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$47695¢99¢+$18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$34085¢100¢+$59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoNo$39298¢98¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$58029¢20¢-$190
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$150100¢100¢+$0
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?PoliticsNo$14698¢99¢+$2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1232.6¢2.9¢+$13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$11898¢100¢+$2
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$11897¢95¢-$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$13489¢77¢-$19
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$100100¢100¢-$0
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsNo$9090¢96¢+$6
Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?WeatherNo$8095¢97¢+$1
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4590¢95¢+$2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$4396¢98¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3383¢95¢+$5
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3085¢96¢+$4
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?PoliticsNo$2697¢98¢+$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1976¢95¢+$5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$2184¢86¢+$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$2286¢67¢-$5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$162.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$22.2¢2.4¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$20K
Weather-$1.7K
Politics+$201
Soccer (other)-$27
MLB-$20
NHL-$18
Basketball (other)+$15
Economy-$13
Golf-$8
Finance+$3
Tech+$2
Culture+$2
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Toughest beat
-$10K
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$039m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$149m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$01h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$02h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$05h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$06h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$06h ago