← Whale Watch

stupid22

Predicting since Feb 2026349 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $143K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $196K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$21K on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$190K91¢91¢-$2.1K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$126K98¢99¢+$2.0K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$97K89¢92¢+$2.8K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$92K94¢95¢+$1.4K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$70K96¢95¢-$1.2K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$42K91¢95¢+$1.7K
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$19K94¢96¢+$389
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$19K93¢93¢-$100
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$9.4K93¢94¢+$51
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$8.9K94¢97¢+$192
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?WeatherYes$7.6K100¢100¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25?WeatherNo$6.4K100¢100¢+$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?FinanceNo$6.0K99¢100¢+$26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$3.3K29¢52¢+$2.6K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3.8K100¢100¢+$5
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$4.3K38¢34¢-$552
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4.2K83¢73¢-$525
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?FinanceNo$3.1K100¢100¢+$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$3.0K99¢100¢+$25
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.2K96¢98¢+$35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2.3K45¢44¢-$89
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1.8K35¢41¢+$275
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.8K31¢31¢+$44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.8K61¢63¢+$45
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢90¢-$1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 25?WeatherNo$1.4K100¢100¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 25?WeatherNo$1.3K98¢100¢+$26
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?WeatherYes$1.3K100¢100¢+$1
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.0K26¢26¢-$30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?WeatherNo$999100¢100¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 24?WeatherNo$843100¢100¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 24?WeatherNo$738100¢100¢+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$65722¢24¢+$53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 39°C or higher on July 25?WeatherNo$691100¢100¢+$1
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$3.6K36¢6.5¢-$2.9K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on July 25?WeatherNo$499100¢100¢+$1
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 25?WeatherNo$389100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?WeatherNo$339100¢100¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$339100¢100¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$30910¢10¢+$2
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$27090¢92¢+$5
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsNo$17676¢90¢+$31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?WeatherNo$200100¢100¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on July 24?WeatherNo$19799¢100¢+$3
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?FinanceNo$13599¢100¢+$2
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsNo$11081¢91¢+$12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?WeatherNo$100100¢100¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$1072.1¢1.7¢-$25
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$9548¢26¢-$43
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 25?WeatherNo$35100¢100¢+$0
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$476¢88¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$194¢96¢+$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$40240¢0.0¢-$402
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$3939¢0.0¢-$39
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$19618¢0.0¢-$196
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$68877¢0.0¢-$688
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?PoliticsYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$143K
Finance+$9.7K
Crypto+$1.7K
Weather-$888
Culture+$144
World Cup+$6
Other sports+$1
Biggest hit
+$21K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Toughest beat
-$135K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$5.2K21m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$20746m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$347m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$549m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$1549m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$4949m ago
  • Sold No · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$4649m ago
  • Sold No · Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?$057m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?$181h ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?$141h ago
  • Sold No · Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 25?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?$311h ago