Sebastian12345

Predicting since Jan 202574 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US recession in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$11	39¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$4	72¢	0.0¢	-$4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$3	16¢	0.0¢	-$3
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	36¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$1	23¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics	YesResolved	$2	12¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$2	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?Politics	YesResolved	$3	30¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$2	23¢	0.0¢	-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	20¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	38¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? Politics	NoResolved	$1	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	19¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Politics	NoResolved	$1	22¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed rate hike in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$5	21¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces in Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$6	26¢	0.0¢	-$6
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Politics	YesResolved	$1	18¢	0.0¢	-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	39¢	0.0¢	-$3
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$2	1.7¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will RFK remove raw milk ban?Politics	YesResolved	$1	42¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?Politics	YesResolved	$2	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$28

Economy-$18

Mentions+$9

Tech-$7

NFL-$2

Biggest hit

+$17

Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?

Toughest beat

-$9

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$523d ago
Cashed out No · NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?$1123d ago
Bought Yes · US forces in Venezuela by December 31?$17mo ago
Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$17mo ago
Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$17mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$47mo ago
Bought No · US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$27mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?$111mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$111mo ago