shilei07

Predicting since Jan 202652 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$489	82¢	80¢	-$14
China coup attempt before 2027?Politics	No	$231	91¢	96¢	+$13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$129	40¢	44¢	+$14
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$132	66¢	68¢	+$3
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics	Yes	$165	17¢	13¢	-$38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$100	2.5¢	2.4¢	-$6
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics	No	$74	71¢	88¢	+$18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$84	42¢	36¢	-$13
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$82	82¢	68¢	-$14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$33	11¢	9.5¢	-$5
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics	Yes	$34	34¢	21¢	-$13
Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics	Yes	$16	8.0¢	7.5¢	-$1
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$14	14¢	0.0¢	-$14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$11	18¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$18	18¢	0.0¢	-$18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$4	3.7¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$7	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$54	36¢	0.0¢	-$54
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Politics	YesResolved	$6	18¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$64	42¢	0.0¢	-$64
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$333

Biggest hit

+$165

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$116

Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Recent moves

Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$109h ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$371d ago
Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$821d ago
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$1201d ago
Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$92d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$308d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$408d ago
Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4011d ago
Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$13211d ago