 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $258 | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$112 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $183 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $169 | 58¢ | 67¢ | +$25 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 17¢ | 26¢ | +$50 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $115 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$23 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $113 | 31¢ | 33¢ | +$5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $114 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $90 | 30¢ | 36¢ | +$16 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $60 | 9.6¢ | 17¢ | +$46 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Politics | No | $111 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 22¢ | 45¢ | +$51 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $191 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$90 |
 Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy | Yes | $57 | 18¢ | 30¢ | +$41 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $93 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $96 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $66 | 41¢ | 54¢ | +$20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $113 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$29 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | Yes | $120 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$37 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$16 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $80 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Politics | No | $94 | 17¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$24 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $70 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$5 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$17 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $77 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Politics | Yes | $60 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$12 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $24 | 19¢ | 55¢ | +$46 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $154 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$85 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $39 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$30 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 6.0¢ | 13¢ | +$36 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Politics | No | $73 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $74 | 9.3¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $45 | 21¢ | 31¢ | +$20 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $93 | 22¢ | 15¢ | -$30 |
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$30 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $191 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$130 |
| Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $56 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$5 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $42 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Politics | No | $60 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $67 | 8.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $63 | 20¢ | 17¢ | -$10 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $16 | 8.0¢ | 26¢ | +$36 |
 California voter ID referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $37 | 33¢ | 47¢ | +$15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?Politics | No | $51 | 6.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $45 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $31 | 12¢ | 18¢ | +$17 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | No | $78 | 9.2¢ | 5.5¢ | -$31 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 34¢ | 29¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Politics | No | $43 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $55 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$10 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 39¢ | 70¢ | +$20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $69 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$24 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$10 |
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 33¢ | 49¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $65 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$22 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$55 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $56 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | No | $54 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Politics | No | $62 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$20 |
 Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 40¢ | +$22 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$10 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $80 | 14¢ | 7.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 33¢ | 12¢ | -$71 |
 Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $31 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Politics | No | $64 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$26 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $23 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 40¢ | +$23 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Culture | No | $28 | 29¢ | 36¢ | +$6 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 10¢ | 8.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $48 | 39¢ | 28¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 24¢ | 11¢ | -$39 |
 Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$16 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $34 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $36 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$12 |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $29 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | Yes | $51 | 61¢ | 38¢ | -$19 |
 Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $21 | 29¢ | 44¢ | +$10 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $44 | 7.6¢ | 5.3¢ | -$13 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $90 | 15¢ | 5.0¢ | -$59 |
| Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 16¢ | 26¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | No | $44 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?Politics | No | $47 | 8.0¢ | 4.7¢ | -$19 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 18¢ | 25¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$35 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$39 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat?Politics | No | $40 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-05 House seat?Politics | Yes | $36 | 10.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$13 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 9.8¢ | 6.5¢ | -$12 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $32 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 13¢ | 6.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 25¢ | 87¢ | +$15 |
 Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $35 | 10¢ | 6.2¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-12 House seat?Politics | No | $45 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$24 |
Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$441d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$62d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$182d ago
Sold Something · Nothing Ever Happens: July$63d ago
Bought Yes · Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?$203d ago
Bought Yes · Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?$214d ago