 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $258 | 44¢ | 53¢ | +$53 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $183 | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$35 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | Yes | $127 | 46¢ | 77¢ | +$84 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 17¢ | 30¢ | +$74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $132 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$17 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $148 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | Yes | $109 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$15 |
 Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $35 | 10¢ | 35¢ | +$85 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $89 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$22 |
 Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Politics | No | $111 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?Politics | No | $93 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$8 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $88 | 44¢ | 50¢ | +$13 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $60 | 9.6¢ | 16¢ | +$36 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $90 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $41 | 22¢ | 46¢ | +$44 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $114 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$32 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $83 | 31¢ | 29¢ | -$6 |
 Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Politics | No | $120 | 50¢ | 28¢ | -$51 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $65 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$35 |
 Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$25 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $45 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$18 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 6.0¢ | 12¢ | +$30 |
 Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 16¢ | 26¢ | +$22 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $42 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$18 |
 Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?Politics | No | $32 | 36¢ | 67¢ | +$27 |
 Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Politics | No | $70 | 37¢ | 31¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $24 | 17¢ | 41¢ | +$34 |
 Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$8 |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $56 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $112 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$56 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $62 | 19¢ | 17¢ | -$7 |
 Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Politics | No | $47 | 43¢ | 48¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $31 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$20 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | No | $69 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Politics | No | $45 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $100 | 35¢ | 18¢ | -$51 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Crypto | Yes | $62 | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Politics | No | $60 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$13 |
 Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $33 | 25¢ | 34¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Politics | No | $63 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $74 | 9.3¢ | 5.5¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$29 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Politics | No | $65 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$22 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $154 | 27¢ | 7.5¢ | -$110 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Politics | No | $94 | 17¢ | 7.5¢ | -$52 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?Politics | No | $78 | 9.2¢ | 5.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$19 |
 Lalit Modi to announce new MMA league by the end of 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 39¢ | +$21 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $77 | 16¢ | 8.5¢ | -$36 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $26 | 7.0¢ | 11¢ | +$15 |
 Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 7.5¢ | 82¢ | +$36 |
 Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $63 | 67¢ | 42¢ | -$24 |
 Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?Politics | No | $53 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | -$14 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $34 | 45¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
 Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $51 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$13 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $96 | 35¢ | 14¢ | -$59 |
 Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Politics | No | $62 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$25 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $93 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$57 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?Politics | No | $51 | 6.0¢ | 4.2¢ | -$15 |
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $98 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $113 | 18¢ | 5.5¢ | -$79 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?Politics | Yes | $60 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Politics | No | $76 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$42 |
 Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Politics | No | $20 | 52¢ | 87¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $67 | 8.0¢ | 3.9¢ | -$35 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$7 |
 Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?Culture | No | $28 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$5 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 9.7¢ | 7.5¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Politics | No | $35 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $23 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$8 |
 Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$11 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $56 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$27 |
 Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $29 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $55 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Politics | No | $54 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$26 |
 California voter ID referendum passes?Politics | Yes | $30 | 33¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
 Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 5.2¢ | 6.5¢ | +$5 |
 Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?Other | Yes | $48 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$22 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?Politics | No | $64 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$38 |
 Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 33¢ | 29¢ | -$4 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 26¢ | 13¢ | -$25 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$35 |
| Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?Politics | No | $43 | 6.0¢ | 3.5¢ | -$17 |
 Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $12 | 15¢ | 33¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $21 | 14¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $29 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 62¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $32 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 19¢ | 29¢ | +$8 |
| Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 25¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $64 | 22¢ | 7.5¢ | -$42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$15 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$21 |
 Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 32¢ | 79¢ | +$13 |
 Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 42¢ | 35¢ | -$5 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | Yes | $47 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$26 |
 SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$4 |
Bought Yes · Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?$114d ago
Sold Yes · Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$04d ago