← Whale Watch

0x8B5A2A371DE832fC1750c1E1E97Fa5496C30B95D-1761755360740

Predicting since Oct 2025468 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.3K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $1.4K across 9 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.0K on Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$20711¢18¢+$136
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$7841.1¢0.4¢-$452
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$23040¢38¢-$16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$21130¢24¢-$48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$20763¢47¢-$51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$12264¢67¢+$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$7033¢33¢-$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4016¢27¢+$28
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$4541¢43¢+$2
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$15421¢6.5¢-$107
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$534.3¢3.8¢-$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$3011¢17¢+$15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$4396¢96¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$156.8¢17¢+$22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3562¢63¢+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$1523¢25¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1564¢67¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1625¢24¢-$1
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsYes$3015¢7.5¢-$15
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1014¢20¢+$4
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$2013¢8.8¢-$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2020¢13¢-$8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10073¢8.5¢-$88
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$1074¢83¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2024¢11¢-$11
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$541.1¢0.1¢-$47
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1013¢9.4¢-$3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$321.6¢0.4¢-$25
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$2520¢5.5¢-$18
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$159.6¢4.0¢-$9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$580¢99¢+$1
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)MLBAtlanta Braves$1566¢24¢-$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20.5¢0.7¢+$1
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$53.8¢1.9¢-$2
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$53.1¢1.3¢-$3
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$241¢37¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$109.0¢1.5¢-$8
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$40.7¢0.3¢-$3
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2550¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2239¢0.0¢-$22
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$1523¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$4725¢0.0¢-$47
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1024¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSportsBilibili GamingResolved$1762¢0.0¢-$17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffseSportsG2 EsportsResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$102.2¢0.0¢-$10
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1521¢0.0¢-$15
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$76.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1249¢0.0¢-$12
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$25249¢0.0¢-$252
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2546¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2542¢0.0¢-$25
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World CupYesResolved$63.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$258.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)eSportsG2 EsportsResolved$761¢0.0¢-$7
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$528¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$65.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCryptoDownResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1323¢0.0¢-$13
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$2857¢0.0¢-$28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnereSportsG2 EsportsResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1056¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$246.3¢0.0¢-$24
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?TechYesResolved$520¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?World CupYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$15960¢0.0¢-$159
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$25028¢0.0¢-$250
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$913¢0.0¢-$9
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$55.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6045¢0.0¢-$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETCryptoDownResolved$5842¢0.0¢-$58
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3038¢0.0¢-$30
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group StageeSportsNIPResolved$2465¢0.0¢-$24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$57.0¢0.0¢-$5
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$1043¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group AeSportsFURIA EsportsResolved$2522¢0.0¢-$25
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$264.2¢0.0¢-$26
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$2537¢0.0¢-$25
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?CryptoYesResolved$297.9¢0.0¢-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2543¢0.0¢-$25
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.3K
Boxing+$2.0K
Culture+$344
Crypto-$321
World Cup-$282
Tech-$213
NBA-$80
MLB+$73
eSports-$64
Mentions-$53
Economy-$41
Formula 1-$25
Biggest hit
+$2.0K
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Toughest beat
-$211
Another Canada election called in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$123h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?$123h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$523h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$1023h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$1523h ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1023h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$422d ago
  • Bought No · Nothing Ever Happens: 2026$1536d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?$1216d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1437d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$377d ago
  • Bought No · Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$599d ago