 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | No | $1.8K | 43¢ | 92¢ | +$2.0K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $2.5K | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$827 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $3.1K | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $2.5K | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | No | $2.3K | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$42 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $1.1K | 56¢ | 85¢ | +$567 |
 Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.3K | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$125 |
 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $857 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$95 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $826 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$45 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $560 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$30 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $450 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $415 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $176 | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$175 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $317 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$20 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $321 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Culture | Yes | $233 | 44¢ | 57¢ | +$71 |
| Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $517 | 85¢ | 46¢ | -$238 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Crypto | No | $279 | 93¢ | 88¢ | -$15 |
| Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $238 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $222 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $38 | 11¢ | 66¢ | +$189 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $193 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$30 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $65 | 13¢ | 42¢ | +$145 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $143 | 70¢ | 90¢ | +$40 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $308 | 31¢ | 17¢ | -$143 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $138 | 69¢ | 83¢ | +$27 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $86 | 42¢ | 80¢ | +$78 |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $119 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$30 |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $117 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$30 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $113 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$28 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $137 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $101 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$24 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $77 | 1.4¢ | 2.3¢ | +$47 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Crypto | No | $146 | 92¢ | 69¢ | -$37 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $7 | 5.0¢ | 77¢ | +$98 |
| Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $140 | 56¢ | 42¢ | -$35 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $54 | 5.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$49 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $66 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$29 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Crypto | No | $117 | 93¢ | 73¢ | -$25 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Crypto | No | $100 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$10 |
 Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$22 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $4 | 3.4¢ | 79¢ | +$81 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $249 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$166 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $168 | 44¢ | 21¢ | -$89 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Crypto | No | $79 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$4 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $1 | 1.0¢ | 56¢ | +$73 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $76 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$3 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Politics | No | $69 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $68 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +$54 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $113 | 15¢ | 8.0¢ | -$53 |
 Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $209 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$157 |
 Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $91 | 62¢ | 36¢ | -$39 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 69¢ | 91¢ | +$11 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 35¢ | 14¢ | -$72 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $43 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $87 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$43 |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $57 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$14 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $26 | 54¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
| Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $35 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $34 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $32 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $30 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $13 | 9.0¢ | 18¢ | +$13 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 62¢ | 32¢ | -$23 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $29 | 12¢ | 9.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
 Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $24 | 47¢ | 42¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $61 | 12¢ | 3.6¢ | -$43 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ | 17¢ | +$14 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $56 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$41 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 8.0¢ | 20¢ | +$9 |
| Will "Digger" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $11 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
 Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $52 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$38 |
| Will "Digger" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $17 | 83¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 72¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.7¢ | 2.1¢ | +$8 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $4 | 0.9¢ | 2.1¢ | +$5 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 3.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$7 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | +$5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | No | $32 | 16¢ | 4.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $5 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$13 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.4¢ | 3.1¢ | +$2 |
 Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 2.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$5 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 53¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 3.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$5 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $105 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
 Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group DeSports | AllianceResolved | $502 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$502 |
 Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | NoResolved | $69 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchCrypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$013h ago