 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Weather | No | $1.0K | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $826 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$45 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $833 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$12 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $800 | 80¢ | 71¢ | -$90 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $498 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $380 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$15 |
 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Weather | No | $353 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 97¢ | +$341 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $222 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $257 | 34¢ | 30¢ | -$32 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $182 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$18 |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $150 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$38 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 37¢ | +$183 |
 Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $237 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$59 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $103 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$52 |
 Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 45¢ | +$153 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 22¢ | +$143 |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $190 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$48 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $164 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$40 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $105 | 42¢ | 45¢ | +$8 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $117 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$8 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 19¢ | +$106 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 74¢ | +$101 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBA | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 100¢ | +$100 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 6.4¢ | +$94 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 90¢ | +$86 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 49¢ | +$52 |
 StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 39¢ | +$52 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $44 | 22¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$42 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $52 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
 Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $52 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 75¢ | +$36 |
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 98¢ | +$33 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 1.3¢ | 2.1¢ | +$12 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Politics | No | $32 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 5.0¢ | +$25 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $24 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 11¢ | +$23 |
 Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.5¢ | +$18 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.8¢ | +$17 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $11 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | Yes | $38 | 1.5¢ | 0.5¢ | -$25 |
 Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$10 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | No | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 7.2¢ | +$6 |
 Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.8¢ | +$5 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 14¢ | +$4 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $0 | 0.0¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 2.0¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLS | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Laso Finance FDV above $12M one day after launchCrypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $167 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
| Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $150 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?World Cup | YesResolved | $51 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.0K | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
| Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $784 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$784 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $160 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
| Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $189 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 |
 Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$04h ago