← Whale Watch

semantics

Predicting since Mar 2026190 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.9K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $5.4K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5.4K77¢83¢+$443
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$80075¢80¢+$49
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31PoliticsNo$60062¢69¢+$64
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherNo$58159¢58¢-$14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50085¢88¢+$12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$24541¢77¢+$217
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$20041¢69¢+$134
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$26583¢92¢+$27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25088¢92¢+$9
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25055¢56¢+$2
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$21383¢87¢+$8
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$16787¢92¢+$9
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$8340¢83¢+$90
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$15084¢95¢+$19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$15081¢88¢+$12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$12287¢99¢+$16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$12224¢24¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$8585¢98¢+$13
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?UFC / MMAYes$10981¢67¢-$19
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$8268¢70¢+$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5655¢68¢+$14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5984¢89¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5086¢95¢+$5
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$5081¢83¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$5086¢86¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3279¢94¢+$6
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2576¢92¢+$5
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$3156¢53¢-$2
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$147.0¢9.5¢+$5
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?TechYes$1339¢38¢-$1
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$1111¢12¢+$0
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$963¢80¢+$2
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier LeagueYes$1012¢12¢-$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$546¢47¢+$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$545¢40¢-$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$238¢38¢-$0
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$274¢87¢+$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$29.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYesResolved$472¢0.0¢-$4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$90459¢0.0¢-$904

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.9K
Premier League+$593
UFC / MMA-$501
World Cup-$406
Tennis+$99
Economy+$94
Boxing-$61
NBA-$19
Soccer (other)-$14
Weather-$14
NHL-$7
NFL-$4
Biggest hit
+$279
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$572h ago
  • Bought No · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$14h ago
  • Cashed out Joshua · Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga$1110h ago
  • Bought No · Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$918h ago
  • Bought Joshua · Boxing: Anthony Joshua vs. Kristian Prenga$1018h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15420h ago
  • Cashed out Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$12021h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$721h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$721h ago
  • Bought Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$6623h ago
  • Bought Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$2523h ago
  • Bought Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$1023h ago