semantics

Predicting since Mar 2026258 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.5K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $4.6K riding on Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?.

Biggest hit: +$2.2K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1.3K	27¢	59¢	+$1.5K
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather	No	$4.6K	48¢	27¢	-$2.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$1.7K	74¢	86¢	+$264
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics	No	$872	66¢	88¢	+$281
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$781	51¢	72¢	+$322
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture	No	$623	78¢	79¢	+$6
Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA	Yes	$404	71¢	94¢	+$131
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$493	86¢	93¢	+$41
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics	Yes	$245	41¢	83¢	+$253
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$423	88¢	96¢	+$34
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics	No	$401	84¢	91¢	+$32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$200	41¢	84¢	+$204
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics	Yes	$340	68¢	68¢	-$3
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$256	47¢	59¢	+$66
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics	No	$265	83¢	94¢	+$34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$250	88¢	96¢	+$21
Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics	No	$199	74¢	79¢	+$15
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics	No	$150	81¢	94¢	+$23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics	No	$150	84¢	96¢	+$21
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics	No	$133	61¢	75¢	+$31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$150	87¢	93¢	+$10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics	Yes	$122	61¢	68¢	+$13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Politics	No	$50	80¢	90¢	+$6
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics	No	$50	86¢	96¢	+$6
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$50	81¢	90¢	+$5
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sports	No	$32	70¢	84¢	+$6
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture	Yes	$20	40¢	35¢	-$3
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech	Yes	$5	46¢	81¢	+$4
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?Culture	Yes	$7	6.6¢	7.2¢	+$1
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	Yes	$20	7.7¢	2.5¢	-$13
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?Culture	Yes	$3	1.4¢	1.9¢	+$1
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	Yes	$10	12¢	5.0¢	-$6
Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?Culture	Yes	$1	0.2¢	0.6¢	+$1
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League	Yes	$20	10.0¢	1.1¢	-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.5K

Soccer (other)+$2.3K

Weather-$2.1K

Tennis-$847

Culture-$783

Premier League+$483

World Cup-$404

Economy+$129

UFC / MMA-$90

Boxing-$61

Tech+$11

NHL-$7

Biggest hit

+$2.2K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Toughest beat

-$1.3K

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · No one announced as next James Bond?$402h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$1172h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2272h ago
Bought No · Weed rescheduled by December 31?$163h ago
Bought Yes · Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?$09h ago
Bought Yes · Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$011h ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$6419h ago
Bought No · No one announced as next James Bond?$3920h ago
Bought No · No one announced as next James Bond?$2920h ago
Bought No · No one announced as next James Bond?$1020h ago
Bought Yes · Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?$020h ago
Bought Yes · Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?$020h ago