← Whale Watch

luckysplit

Predicting since Oct 20251,015 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.0K on NFL markets since Oct 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$14079¢97¢+$33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$31.7¢85¢+$166
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsNo$20367¢56¢-$36
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsNo$14527¢25¢-$11
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?PoliticsNoResolved$5255¢100¢+$43
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$8383¢91¢+$8
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$9045¢41¢-$9
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?PoliticsNoResolved$7189¢100¢+$9
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?PoliticsNoResolved$6277¢100¢+$18
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$4590¢92¢+$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?PoliticsNoResolved$4089¢100¢+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4518¢13¢-$14
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$3232¢22¢-$10
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechYes$2215¢11¢-$6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$87.9¢12¢+$5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$1436¢26¢-$4
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$77.0¢8.5¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$3218¢4.8¢-$24
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$662¢80¢+$2
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?TechNo$772¢72¢-$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$147.0¢2.5¢-$9
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$2856¢8.5¢-$24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$32.5¢2.4¢-$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$13.5¢5.1¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$614¢3.6¢-$4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$12.3¢2.4¢+$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$15.0¢5.1¢+$0
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2068¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?MentionsNoResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1155¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$5151¢0.0¢-$51
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$519¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Escalator" in March?MentionsNoResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1118¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran strike UAE in March?PoliticsNoResolved$612¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?MentionsNoResolved$110.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$36.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" in March?MentionsNoResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?PoliticsNoResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1137¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?MentionsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$205.1¢0.0¢-$20
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?PoliticsNoResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will Iran strike Oman in March?PoliticsNoResolved$2065¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in March?MentionsNoResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$23.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9722¢0.0¢-$97
Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$88.4¢0.0¢-$8
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?PoliticsNoResolved$15036¢0.0¢-$150
Will Iran strike Qatar in March?PoliticsNoResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?NFLYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Debate" in March?MentionsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?MentionsNoResolved$3057¢0.0¢-$30
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2626¢0.0¢-$26
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1)MentionsYesResolved$48.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYesResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6458¢0.0¢-$64
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March 8)MentionsNoResolved$437¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?MentionsNoResolved$128¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?PoliticsNoResolved$39.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$6262¢0.0¢-$62
Will Trump say "Nazi" this week? (March 8)MentionsNoResolved$440¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump say "Coward" in March?MentionsYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$821¢0.0¢-$8
Will Iran strike Israel in March?PoliticsNoResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Stupid" or "Low IQ" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?MentionsNoResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 8)MentionsYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$36.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?CultureNoResolved$4767¢0.0¢-$47
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$835¢0.0¢-$8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?CultureYesResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump say "Nutjob" in February?MentionsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$439¢0.0¢-$4
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

NFL+$1.0K
Economy+$700
Culture-$519
Tech-$423
Finance+$411
Politics+$306
Mentions+$217
Crypto+$203
Weather+$94
World Cup-$6
NBA+$6
eSports+$4
Biggest hit
+$738
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Toughest beat
-$640
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?