← Whale Watch

Heisenberger

Predicting since May 2026120 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$528¢42¢+$2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?CryptoYes$610¢13¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$519¢24¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$554¢56¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$565¢67¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$530¢31¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$527¢20¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$547¢36¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsNoResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsNoResolved$439¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$444¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$556¢0.0¢-$5
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?CryptoNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?CryptoYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?MentionsYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?PoliticsNoResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$58.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" this week?MentionsNoResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$566¢0.0¢-$5
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?PoliticsNoResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?CryptoYesResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" this week?MentionsNoResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?CryptoNoResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?MentionsYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 16-22?CryptoYesResolved$560¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "See what happens" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$565¢0.0¢-$5
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?MentionsNoResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?PoliticsYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Bolsonaro" during events with Brazilian president?MentionsYesResolved$443¢0.0¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?MentionsNoResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?World CupMissedResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?World CupYesResolved$115¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?WeatherNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$15.8¢0.0¢-$1
Spain vs. Austria: Team to AdvanceWorld CupAustriaResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$33
Crypto-$19
Mentions-$17
Economy-$5
World Cup-$4
Finance+$2
Tech+$1
Weather-$1
Biggest hit
+$8
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?$613h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$54d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 15, 2026?$54d ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$512d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$1013d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$516d ago
  • Sold No · Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$616d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$720d ago
  • Bought Austria · Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance$124d ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$725d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$826d ago
  • Sold No · Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1026d ago