← Whale Watch

Natsan

Predicting since Mar 20263,419 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $4.2K across 7 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2.3K75¢73¢-$61
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$1.2K91¢94¢+$43
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$88250¢53¢+$52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$71866¢83¢+$184
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$54657¢65¢+$81
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$51583¢94¢+$67
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$50760¢68¢+$73
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$46270¢86¢+$109
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$71916¢10¢-$242
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$42077¢83¢+$29
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$37293¢93¢-$2
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$38511¢9.5¢-$52
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$31681¢85¢+$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$32565¢65¢+$0
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$31095¢96¢+$3
Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?PoliticsYes$30284¢86¢+$5
Will LEVIATÁN Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$21070¢97¢+$84
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$28675¢76¢+$4
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?PoliticsYes$70786¢34¢-$432
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$19974¢92¢+$47
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?CryptoNo$21454¢57¢+$15
Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?PoliticsNo$21592¢98¢+$13
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?CryptoNo$17866¢84¢+$49
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$20433¢36¢+$15
Will G2 Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$12964¢97¢+$67
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?CryptoNo$13869¢90¢+$41
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10534¢53¢+$59
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$14893¢95¢+$4
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$15050¢50¢+$0
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$13244¢50¢+$17
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?TechNo$16683¢73¢-$20
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoNo$13162¢69¢+$15
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?PoliticsYes$877.5¢11¢+$46
Will Romeu Zema qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$12391¢97¢+$8
Will Team Vitality Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$12980¢78¢-$3
Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?PoliticsYes$11419¢21¢+$9
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?CryptoNo$9949¢57¢+$16
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsYes$10637¢38¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$7734¢46¢+$27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$993.3¢3.5¢+$5
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?PoliticsNo$10096¢98¢+$3
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?CultureNo$9090¢100¢+$10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$11371¢62¢-$14
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?CryptoNo$9292¢98¢+$6
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?CryptoNo$8585¢97¢+$12
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?TechNo$14849¢32¢-$53
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?PoliticsYes$15467¢41¢-$60
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8451¢55¢+$7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?CryptoNo$6060¢89¢+$29
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$8494¢96¢+$2
Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureYes$8888¢86¢-$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?PoliticsYes$2711¢34¢+$56
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?CryptoNo$6162¢84¢+$21
Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?PoliticsYes$7961¢63¢+$2
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?PoliticsYes$7868¢71¢+$3
Will T1 Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$6564¢78¢+$14
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?PoliticsNo$9155¢48¢-$12
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$808.0¢7.5¢-$5
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$7482¢81¢-$1
Will Team Heretics Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$9548¢33¢-$30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$3838¢61¢+$23
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$6785¢77¢-$7
Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?CultureYes$6181¢81¢-$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$608.6¢8.3¢-$2
Will Xi Lai Gaming Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$2929¢50¢+$21
Will FUT Esports Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$3333¢49¢+$16
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4283¢98¢+$7
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?PoliticsNo$4589¢96¢+$4
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$568.0¢6.5¢-$11
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?TechYes$3575¢96¢+$10
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsYes$4181¢88¢+$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$4930¢26¢-$7
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$4182¢81¢-$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3774¢79¢+$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$3892¢94¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$4079¢78¢-$1
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsYes$3977¢78¢+$0
Trump renames ICE to NICE by July 31?PoliticsNo$3178¢96¢+$7
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$2857¢76¢+$10
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$3716¢16¢+$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureYes$1938¢63¢+$13
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?PoliticsNo$2879¢83¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyNo$2063¢79¢+$5
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyYes$4328¢16¢-$18
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2079¢95¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2390¢95¢+$1
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$3519¢12¢-$14
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?PoliticsNo$1469¢91¢+$4
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1242¢60¢+$5
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3240¢22¢-$14
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$134.9¢5.3¢+$1
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?PoliticsYes$1784¢72¢-$3
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$1812¢7.5¢-$7
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$2518¢7.0¢-$15
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$1212¢9.7¢-$2
McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?PoliticsYes$2222¢9.0¢-$13
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?CultureYes$1530¢16¢-$7
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$1034¢22¢-$4
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$714¢12¢-$1
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?PoliticsYes$1428¢12¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$334
Culture+$197
eSports+$162
Formula 1+$73
Tech-$63
Other sports-$25
Crypto-$15
Economy-$5
Finance+$3
Weather-$1
World Cup+$0
Biggest hit
+$16
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Toughest beat
-$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2583h ago
  • Sold No · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$127h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$169h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$013h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$913h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$113h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$1713h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$513h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$3213h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$613h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$213h ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 7PM ET$413h ago