← Whale Watch

Razirback

Predicting since Oct 20243,989 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.0K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $2.9K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2.2K40¢45¢+$241
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$66750¢56¢+$73
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$19333¢40¢+$39
Maduro guilty of all counts?PoliticsYes$8922¢51¢+$115
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$20090¢92¢+$3
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsYes$1889.6¢9.6¢+$0
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?PoliticsYes$19629¢27¢-$11
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$18730¢30¢-$6
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechNo$17779¢81¢+$4
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsNo$17875¢71¢-$11
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$3151.9¢1.0¢-$149
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureYes$18676¢66¢-$26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20274¢56¢-$49
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsNo$19879¢61¢-$46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$18024¢20¢-$34
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?PoliticsNo$13840¢42¢+$7
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$15090¢84¢-$11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$19741¢24¢-$83
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?PoliticsYes$20031¢18¢-$87
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?WeatherNo$9364¢77¢+$18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$9747¢44¢-$6
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$7574¢88¢+$14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyYes$18518¢8.5¢-$96
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?PoliticsNo$8678¢73¢-$5
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2925¢67¢+$49
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$5070¢99¢+$20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5050¢69¢+$19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$498.9¢12¢+$20
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechYes$5614¢16¢+$10
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$5064¢80¢+$12
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsNo$5071¢86¢+$11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$5056¢68¢+$10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$5129¢34¢+$9
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$4925¢30¢+$10
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoNo$2741¢89¢+$31
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechYes$18260¢19¢-$126
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsYes$5034¢37¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5070¢73¢+$2
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?PoliticsYes$4632¢36¢+$6
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5176¢76¢+$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5074¢75¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$5384¢81¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5051¢52¢+$0
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$7566¢45¢-$25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$5155¢55¢-$1
Will Charles Gambaro be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsNo$4998¢100¢+$1
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$5075¢74¢-$1
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$5127¢26¢-$2
California voter ID referendum passes?PoliticsYes$4948¢47¢-$1
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$20264¢15¢-$154
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$4183¢97¢+$7
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$4077¢88¢+$5
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4875¢69¢-$4
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5036¢32¢-$7
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsNo$5089¢77¢-$7
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsYes$2762¢96¢+$15
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4810¢9.0¢-$6
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$4927¢23¢-$8
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsNo$5040¢33¢-$9
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$4179¢80¢+$0
California voter ID referendum passes?PoliticsNo$5066¢53¢-$10
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?PoliticsNo$3784¢88¢+$1
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$2766¢94¢+$11
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$3894¢91¢-$1
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3111¢12¢+$5
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$3598¢98¢+$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$3039¢44¢+$3
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?eSportsNo$3289¢92¢+$1
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$2130¢47¢+$12
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$3347¢46¢-$1
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$4916¢11¢-$18
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$3091¢94¢+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$5357¢33¢-$23
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1856¢94¢+$11
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$3625¢20¢-$7
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$4112¢8.5¢-$12
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsNo$2275¢99¢+$7
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2784¢89¢+$1
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$4215¢9.8¢-$14
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?FinanceUp$11.0¢27¢+$26
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYes$2336¢42¢+$4
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$667.5¢2.9¢-$40
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$2381¢90¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$5024¢13¢-$24
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?PoliticsYes$3415¢11¢-$9
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2754¢49¢-$3
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?eSportsYes$4716¢8.1¢-$24
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$4946¢21¢-$27
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?PoliticsYes$5132¢13¢-$31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5634¢12¢-$37
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?PoliticsNo$1156¢83¢+$5
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$2272¢53¢-$6
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$5016¢5.0¢-$34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1483¢92¢+$1
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? GolfYes$1785¢76¢-$2
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5038¢12¢-$35
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?PoliticsNo$1473¢77¢+$1
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsYes$4547¢14¢-$31
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$5545¢11¢-$42
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$346.6¢2.5¢-$22

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$5.0K
Culture+$1.4K
Economy-$956
Other-$269
Crypto-$225
Tech-$209
Weather-$105
Champions League-$23
eSports-$23
Finance-$22
Golf-$19
NBA+$11
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Toughest beat
-$1.7K
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$502d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$502d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$132d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$162d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$102d ago
  • Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$252d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$172d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$172d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$92d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$12d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$142d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$22d ago