← Whale Watch

GrokEnjoyer

Predicting since Jan 2026667 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $52K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $21K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$28K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$21K96¢99¢+$741
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$7.0K61¢66¢+$546
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$6.3K92¢96¢+$241
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$6.3K55¢56¢+$117
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$5.0K73¢81¢+$543
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$4.4K90¢97¢+$380
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$1.9K47¢100¢+$2.1K
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.5K91¢94¢+$118
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K69¢91¢+$840
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.2K88¢90¢+$37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K94¢100¢+$126
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K96¢99¢+$82
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.3K81¢79¢-$65
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$2.0K85¢92¢+$151
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1.9K59¢63¢+$115
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$1.9K84¢88¢+$79
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$74543¢89¢+$776
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K62¢68¢+$122
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K76¢95¢+$285
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K62¢63¢+$11
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$1.3K83¢77¢-$105
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K25¢24¢-$77
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$82042¢55¢+$244
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$69152¢80¢+$369
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$87879¢81¢+$28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.2K53¢41¢-$278
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$80036¢38¢+$33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$71164¢67¢+$28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$53774¢88¢+$98
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$43339¢44¢+$50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$38180¢93¢+$58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K23¢6.5¢-$1.1K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$32014¢19¢+$108
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.8K20¢4.8¢-$1.4K
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$44440¢37¢-$39
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$32959¢73¢+$75
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$31772¢88¢+$71
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$31880¢95¢+$58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$29526¢31¢+$66
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsNo$29638¢42¢+$26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$27161¢67¢+$24
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$26178¢87¢+$28
Anduril IPO before 2027?TechNo$25990¢94¢+$10
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$13120¢38¢+$120
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$44954¢28¢-$212
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17970¢89¢+$48
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBANo$9543¢100¢+$126
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$19488¢100¢+$27
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$20291¢98¢+$16
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$19588¢93¢+$10
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$14469¢95¢+$53
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19186¢84¢-$4
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsNo$19487¢82¢-$13
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$10748¢69¢+$46
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$14426¢27¢+$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$9543¢63¢+$44
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$11150¢59¢+$19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10525¢27¢+$7
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$2099.4¢4.3¢-$114
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsYes$17816¢8.5¢-$83
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$9729¢28¢-$5
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$15134¢21¢-$60
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$11721¢16¢-$31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsYes$17816¢7.5¢-$94
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$4552¢83¢+$27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$3448¢93¢+$32
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$4339¢51¢+$14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$31711¢1.5¢-$275
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$4018¢14¢-$8
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$711¢34¢+$16
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$1778¢81¢+$1
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2651¢30¢-$11
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1.1K51¢0.6¢-$1.1K
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$1527¢23¢-$2
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$14967¢4.3¢-$139
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?WeatherNo$1413¢7.0¢-$7
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$428¢44¢+$2
Ben Pasternak jailed?CryptoYes$27062¢1.4¢-$264
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsYes$1528¢9.5¢-$10
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$1413¢1.6¢-$13
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?WeatherNoResolved$14512¢0.0¢-$145

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$52K
World Cup+$8.0K
NFL+$4.6K
NBA-$3.9K
Boxing-$2.7K
Crypto+$1.4K
Champions League-$1.3K
Hockey (other)-$1.3K
Tech-$1.2K
Other sports+$899
College Hoops-$833
Basketball (other)+$706
Biggest hit
+$28K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$12K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$31h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$161h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$8641h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$3484h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$810h ago
  • Bought Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox AND Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$1110h ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2721h ago
  • Bought No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$96721h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?$8001d ago
  • Bought No · Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$1911d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$441d ago