Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $9.6K | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$1.0K |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $9.2K | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$1.2K |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $7.0K | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$891 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $3.9K | 55¢ | 75¢ | +$1.3K |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $4.6K | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$211 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $3.5K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$226 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $2.7K | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$957 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2.7K | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$188 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $1.9K | 59¢ | 84¢ | +$786 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.2K | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$250 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$96 |
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $2.0K | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$299 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 26¢ | 44¢ | +$930 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$568 |
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.1K | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$14 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1.9K | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$193 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.4K | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$211 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $745 | 43¢ | 91¢ | +$819 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?MLB | No | $1.4K | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$167 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $1.2K | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$293 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $1.3K | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$78 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$56 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$100 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$33 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $975 | 29¢ | 32¢ | +$84 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 53¢ | 45¢ | -$189 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $822 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$128 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $800 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$78 |
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Politics | Yes | $828 | 83¢ | 76¢ | -$69 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $537 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$141 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $433 | 39¢ | 51¢ | +$128 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $467 | 64¢ | 70¢ | +$48 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $381 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$67 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $302 | 34¢ | 48¢ | +$120 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $317 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$100 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $295 | 26¢ | 36¢ | +$116 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $797 | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$389 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $444 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$50 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2.1K | 9.5¢ | 1.8¢ | -$1.7K |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $456 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$72 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $318 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$65 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $242 | 51¢ | 80¢ | +$134 |
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $344 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $271 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$51 |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $261 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$52 |
Anduril IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $268 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$9 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $131 | 20¢ | 35¢ | +$103 |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $179 | 70¢ | 91¢ | +$53 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $433 | 39¢ | 20¢ | -$217 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | Yes | $195 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$20 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $193 | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$15 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $191 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $194 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $179 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$3 |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $160 | 36¢ | 41¢ | +$20 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $107 | 48¢ | 77¢ | +$63 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $133 | 28¢ | 36¢ | +$35 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $144 | 26¢ | 30¢ | +$19 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $633 | 57¢ | 13¢ | -$494 |
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $172 | 31¢ | 21¢ | -$55 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $106 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$6 |
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $178 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$72 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $449 | 54¢ | 13¢ | -$345 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $98 | 67¢ | 54¢ | -$20 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $178 | 16¢ | 6.0¢ | -$111 |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $93 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$38 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $151 | 34¢ | 11¢ | -$104 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 19¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?Other | No | $39 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 51¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $43 | 39¢ | 29¢ | -$10 |
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $24 | 7.3¢ | 8.0¢ | +$2 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 18¢ | 12¢ | -$14 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $117 | 21¢ | 3.8¢ | -$96 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Politics | Yes | $17 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $123 | 22¢ | 3.0¢ | -$106 |
Ben Pasternak jailed?Crypto | Yes | $256 | 58¢ | 1.9¢ | -$247 |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 8.5¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | Yes | $38 | 17¢ | 0.8¢ | -$36 |
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $516 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$516 |
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | NoResolved | $64 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $127 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$127 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
49ers vs. RaidersNFL | RaidersResolved | $306 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$306 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $301 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$301 |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $137 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$137 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |