← Whale Watch

TPAA

Predicting since Oct 2025606 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $9.7K on Crypto markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $3.9K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.5K on Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.1K85¢91¢+$198
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.9K50¢80¢+$1.2K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?TechNo$1.9K94¢95¢+$29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$89849¢56¢+$138
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$82869¢81¢+$150
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1.9K50¢20¢-$1.2K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$83587¢81¢-$66
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$77690¢88¢-$17
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$50081¢81¢-$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$35333¢40¢+$75
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? CryptoNo$14230¢87¢+$268
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$41632¢28¢-$52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?TechNo$24491¢95¢+$9
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$24984¢45¢-$117
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?TechYes$49.0¢9.0¢+$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?TechYes$48.0¢4.5¢-$2
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?PoliticsYesResolved$23821¢0.0¢-$238
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$10074¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?CryptoNoResolved$7518¢0.0¢-$75
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$13028¢0.0¢-$130
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?World CupYesResolved$3019¢0.0¢-$30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15511¢0.0¢-$155
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$8154¢0.0¢-$81
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYesResolved$1.1K97¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$400.7¢0.0¢-$40
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?WeatherNoResolved$1225.2¢0.0¢-$122
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$320.8¢0.0¢-$32
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$8311¢0.0¢-$83
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$10054¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYesResolved$1000.2¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$49647¢0.0¢-$496
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1968.4¢0.0¢-$196
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupPortugalResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 2?FinanceNoResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$233.3¢0.0¢-$23
Chirayu Rana divorced?FinanceYesResolved$12322¢0.0¢-$123
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?FinanceUpResolved$484.0¢0.0¢-$48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$649.6¢0.0¢-$64
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsNoResolved$6535¢0.0¢-$65
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?CryptoYesResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?PoliticsYesResolved$43835¢0.0¢-$438
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8524¢0.0¢-$85
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$20817¢0.0¢-$208
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2329.7¢0.0¢-$232

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$9.7K
Finance-$2.9K
Tech-$1.8K
Tennis-$1.5K
Politics-$1.4K
College Hoops-$1.3K
World Cup-$790
Mentions-$597
Champions League-$522
La Liga-$413
Boxing-$298
Soccer (other)+$175
Biggest hit
+$6.5K
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Toughest beat
-$958
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 26?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$142d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$162d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$162d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$82d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$32d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$34d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$34d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$214d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$484d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$2404d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$04d ago