Pollyputthekettleon

Predicting since Jul 20253,771 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics	No	$75	68¢	45¢	-$25
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$40	79¢	87¢	+$4
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics	No	$75	33¢	19¢	-$33
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$37	60¢	61¢	+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	38¢	36¢	-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$5	36¢	34¢	-$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	38¢	34¢	-$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	36¢	32¢	-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$4	10¢	8.5¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$5	76¢	56¢	-$1
Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics	No	$2	69¢	98¢	+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	12¢	6.0¢	-$2
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics	Yes	$3	46¢	31¢	-$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics	Yes	$2	87¢	77¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	36¢	13¢	-$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics	Yes	$5	25¢	6.5¢	-$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics	Yes	$5	18¢	4.8¢	-$4
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics	Yes	$1	7.0¢	7.2¢	+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$1	56¢	57¢	+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$0	11¢	0.0¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$0	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$934

Politics-$86

Tech-$0

Biggest hit

+$420

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Toughest beat

-$576

XRP Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$371d ago
Sold No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$02d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$293d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$73d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$73d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$73d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$73d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$73d ago
Bought No · Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?$133d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$1045d ago
Sold Yes · Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?$77d ago
Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$667d ago